Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 04, 2022, 2:04 PM
  • The Dodgers (35-17) are -185 favorites vs the Mets (35-19)
  • Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson (2-0), 3.03 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler (6-1), 3.22 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (+150) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 35-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 31-21 ATS.

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -130O 8.5 +100+150
Dodgers -1.5 +105U 8.5 -120-185

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.60 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • J.D. Davis has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.40 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 54 games (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1H Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+9.37 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1H Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1H Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1H Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 52 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 32-22 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 21.05% ROI).

  • 35-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 13.11% ROI
  • 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 0.5% ROI
  • 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -8.48% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 31-21 against the Run Line (+7.3 Units / 11.63% ROI).

  • 35-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -2.15% ROI
  • 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -15.72% ROI
  • 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 6.97% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .034 (1-for-29) against Luis Severino with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .178 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (79/232) against Luis Severino this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.

Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of 48% (32 SO in 67 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 90th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (40 Total Bases / 80 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 13th Percentile.

Walker Buehler: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .196 (20 Total Bases / 102 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of just .213 (108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 98th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .409 (108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (17-for-102) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Yankees are 30-10 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Yankees are 21-7 (.750) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Yankees are 14-3 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Angels are just 3-15 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The Angels are just 24-3 (.889) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .931.

The Angels are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Angels are just 104-19 (.846) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

 

Yankees hitters are slugging .601 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Yankees are batting just .322 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

The Angels are batting just .165 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Angels are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Angels hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Angels hitters are slugging just .400 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 127 of 1,888 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The longest HR allowed by the Angels pitchers this season traveled 438.0 feet — — tied for 3rd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 452.7

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Angels pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Elbow, D10
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Pelvis, D15
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoudler, D10
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Lat, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • James McCann (Mets): Hamate, D10
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.