- The Dodgers (35-17) are -185 favorites vs the Mets (35-19)
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson (2-0), 3.03 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler (6-1), 3.22 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (+150) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 35-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 31-21 ATS.
Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -130 | O 8.5 +100 | +150 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -120 | -185 |
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.60 Units / 57% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.40 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 100% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 54 games (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1H Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+9.37 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1H Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1H Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1H Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 52 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 32-22 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 21.05% ROI).
- 35-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 13.11% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 0.5% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -8.48% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 31-21 against the Run Line (+7.3 Units / 11.63% ROI).
- 35-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -2.15% ROI
- 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -15.72% ROI
- 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 6.97% ROI
David Peterson: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .034 (1-for-29) against Luis Severino with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .178 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (79/232) against Luis Severino this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.
Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of 48% (32 SO in 67 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 90th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (40 Total Bases / 80 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 13th Percentile.
Walker Buehler: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .196 (20 Total Bases / 102 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of just .213 (108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 98th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .409 (108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (17-for-102) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Yankees are 30-10 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Yankees are 21-7 (.750) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Yankees are 14-3 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Angels are just 3-15 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Angels are just 24-3 (.889) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .931.
The Angels are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Angels are just 104-19 (.846) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .601 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Yankees are batting just .322 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .165 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Angels are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Angels hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .400 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 127 of 1,888 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Angels pitchers this season traveled 438.0 feet — — tied for 3rd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 452.7
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Angels pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Elbow, D10
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Pelvis, D15
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoudler, D10
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Lat, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- James McCann (Mets): Hamate, D10
- Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
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