- The Rangers are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Rangers TV Channel: SNY | BSSW
The New York Mets (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Mets are 33-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 31-40 ATS.
Mets vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 2-0, 4.32 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 2-2, 2.18 ERA
Mets vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -115 | -135 |
Mets vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+15.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Luis Torrens has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.10 Units / 262% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 33 games (+11.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+11.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- DJ Stewart has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+19.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+17.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games at home (+12.30 Units / 112% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 away games (+10.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+18.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+3.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 33-37 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -7.19% ROI).
- 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -7.59% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -1.72% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -6.36% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 31-40 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -15.97% ROI).
- 33-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -12.78% ROI
- 25-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.4 Units / -28.57% ROI
- 43-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.75 Units / 20.24% ROI
Rangers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rangers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Jon Gray (TEX) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 52 PAs) over the last 14 days — lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — second Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (318/592) of right-handed hitters since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,859/3,084) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
David Peterson has located his fastball up for a strike just 49% (257/526) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .433 (65-for-150) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .343 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (302/787) against Jon Gray since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 40% (100/248) against Jon Gray this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (493/1,305) against Jon Gray since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mets are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.
The Mets are just 21-10 (.677) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.
The Mets are 5-28 (.152) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Mets are just 17-9 (.654) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .851.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rangers are just 3-176 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 7-72 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are just 5-84 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 6-11 (.353) after a home win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .271 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets have won just 42% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .264 (1,430 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mets are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (351 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (379/2,658 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .878 (482 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.041.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .803 (4,306 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 62 of 632 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 864 of 8,781 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 3 of 117 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 30 of 223 batters (14%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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