- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Cubs TV Channel: MAS2 | MARQ
The Washington Nationals (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Saturday, September 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Nationals are 68-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 75-79 ATS.
Nationals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 9-12, 4.14 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 4-11, 6.35 ERA
Nationals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Nationals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 29 games (+21.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+18.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+14.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+13.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+53.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 146 games (+8.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 54 away games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+16.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.32 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.01 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 85-69 against the Run Line (+4.53 Units / 2.24% ROI).
- 68-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.3% ROI
- 72-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -5.03% ROI
- 74-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.07 Units / -3.55% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 75-79 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -8.24% ROI).
- 79-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.57 Units / 0.3% ROI
- 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -6.3% ROI
- 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.97 Units / -2.35% ROI
Cubs vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Cubs vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Tena (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Cubs vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +110 |
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (290/1,020) against MacKenzie Gore since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has allowed an OBP of .433 (150 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .322 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (138/451) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .361 (48-for-133) against MacKenzie Gore when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .259 — second Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH in the 2023 season (449 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.7 MPH on fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.4 MPH since last season (838 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 89.0
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Nationals are just 59-234 (.201) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Nationals are just 59-82 (.418) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Nationals are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are 31-10 (.756) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .644.
The Cubs are just 55-49 (.529) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Cubs are just 62-12 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Cubs are 15-27 (.357) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 674 strikeouts in 3,533 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals are batting just .220 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,071 strikeouts in 5,480 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .315 on the road this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Cubs are batting .286 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .324 (8,930 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Cubs are batting just .230 at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .343 (4,211 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 122 of 1,366 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 74 double plays in 1,069 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this month (18 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Nationals vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
