Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Dodgers (64-31) are -250 favorites vs the Nationals (33-65)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-6), 4.40 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-2), 3.78 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Washington Nationals (+195) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Nationals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 33-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 57-38 ATS.

Nationals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 +100O 8.5 +100+195
Dodgers -1.5 -120U 8.5 -120-250

Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 32 away games (+21.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+14.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+11.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 away games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 47 of his last 92 games (+16.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 31 games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)

Dodgers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Gavin Lux 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jake Lamb 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Justin Turner 0.5 +375 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Gavin Lux 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jake Lamb 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Justin Turner 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Dodgers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Gavin Lux 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jake Lamb 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Justin Turner 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Dodgers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mitch White 3.5 +100 3.5 -140
Josiah Gray 5.5 +120 5.5 -165
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 85 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+2.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 92 games (+18.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 95 games (+10.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 91 games (+4.00 Units / 3% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 42-56 against the Run Line (-22.2 Units / -18.25% ROI).

  • 33-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -19.55% ROI
  • 48-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.47% ROI
  • 45-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -6.77% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 57-38 against the Run Line (+16.5 Units / 14.66% ROI).

  • 64-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.1% ROI
  • 36-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.4 Units / -19.49% ROI
  • 51-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.95 Units / 10.47% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (56/196) against Josiah Gray since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 57% (410/723) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (135/437) against Josiah Gray since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 26 of 174 left-handed batters (15%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Mitchell White: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitch White has a strikeout rate of just 17% (4 SO in 23 PAs) with two-strikes — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Mitch White has struck out just 4% (1/22) of left-handed batters he faced — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Mitch White has an ERA of 1.07 (25.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 3.91 — 100th Percentile.

Mitch White has walked 3 of 24 batters (12%) in late innings this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Nationals are just 33-57 (.367) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Nationals are just 15-36 (.294) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Nationals are just 103-16 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Nationals are just 5-55 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Dodgers are 22-75 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 34-14 (.708) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Dodgers are 113-46 (.711) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Dodgers are 30-6 (.833) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .661.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 255 double plays in 1,909 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 42 double plays in 312 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Nationals have scored 1.03 runs per game (100/97) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (2,997 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,125 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .682.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (6,991 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.68 (398.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .307 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .286 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 85% of their games this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (411.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.01 (2299.1 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Dodgers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Turner (Dodgers): Abdomen, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.