Nationals vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 19, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (66-55) are -350 favorites vs the Nationals (40-80)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-5), 4.20 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (5-6), 3.66 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Washington Nationals (+260) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-350) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Nationals vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 39-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-64 ATS.

Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+2.5 -125O 7.5 -105+260
Padres -2.5 +105U 7.5 -115-350

Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 40 of his last 51 games (+17.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+16.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+13.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.05 Units / 49% ROI)

Padres vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Brandon Drury 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Josh Bell 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Padres vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Brandon Drury 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Josh Bell 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Padres vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Brandon Drury 0.5 +105 0.5 -145
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Josh Bell 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Padres vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell 7.5 +110 7.5 -155
Paolo Espino 2.5 -155 2.5 +105
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 107 games (+16.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 53 of their last 96 games (+13.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 50-69 against the Run Line (-27.6 Units / -18.94% ROI).

  • 39-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -18.65% ROI
  • 59-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.61% ROI
  • 53-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.64% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 56-64 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -7.18% ROI).

  • 66-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -3.02% ROI
  • 56-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.9% ROI
  • 61-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -0.86% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .186 (8-for-43) against Paolo Espino on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 98th Percentile.

Paolo Espino has averaged 88.5 MPH on fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — second Percentile.

Paolo Espino has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (50 Total Bases / 79 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .395 — 0 Percentile.

Paolo Espino has walked 17 of 387 left-handed batters (4%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 42 of 233 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 19 of 87 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has struck out 42% (24/57) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 57% (57 SO in 100 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Nationals are just 19-44 (.302) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Nationals are just 13-71 (.155) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Nationals are just 40-67 (.374) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Nationals are just 106-16 (.869) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Padres are 6-39 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Padres are 54-19 (.740) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Padres are 17-2 (.895) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Padres are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 271 double plays in 2,074 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Padres hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Padres hitters have drawn 64 walks in 510 PA’s (12%) against RHP this month (18 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Padres hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.85 (477.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Padres pitchers have walked 63 of 1,081 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Padres pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.5

Padres vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Luis García (Nationals): Groin, D10
  • Louis Voit (Nationals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.