- The Padres (66-55) are -350 favorites vs the Nationals (40-80)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-5), 4.20 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (5-6), 3.66 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Washington Nationals (+260) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-350) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Nationals vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 39-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-64 ATS.
Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +2.5 -125 | O 7.5 -105 | +260 |
| Padres | -2.5 +105 | U 7.5 -115 | -350 |
Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 40 of his last 51 games (+17.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+16.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+13.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.05 Units / 49% ROI)
Padres vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Padres vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
Padres vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -155 |
| Paolo Espino | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 107 games (+16.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 53 of their last 96 games (+13.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 50-69 against the Run Line (-27.6 Units / -18.94% ROI).
- 39-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -18.65% ROI
- 59-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.61% ROI
- 53-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.64% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 56-64 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -7.18% ROI).
- 66-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -3.02% ROI
- 56-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.9% ROI
- 61-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -0.86% ROI
Paolo Espino: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .186 (8-for-43) against Paolo Espino on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 98th Percentile.
Paolo Espino has averaged 88.5 MPH on fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — second Percentile.
Paolo Espino has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (50 Total Bases / 79 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .395 — 0 Percentile.
Paolo Espino has walked 17 of 387 left-handed batters (4%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 42 of 233 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 19 of 87 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has struck out 42% (24/57) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 57% (57 SO in 100 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Nationals are just 19-44 (.302) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Nationals are just 13-71 (.155) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Nationals are just 40-67 (.374) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 106-16 (.869) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Padres are 6-39 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Padres are 54-19 (.740) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Padres are 17-2 (.895) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Padres are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 271 double plays in 2,074 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Padres hitters have drawn 64 walks in 510 PA’s (12%) against RHP this month (18 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.85 (477.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 63 of 1,081 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.5
Padres vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Erick Fedde (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Luis García (Nationals): Groin, D10
- Louis Voit (Nationals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.