Nationals vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 5

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 05, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Phillies are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-7), 4.58 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson (6-4), 4.59 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-200) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Nationals vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 36-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 54-51 ATS.

Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -115O 9 -115+165
Phillies -1.5 -105U 9 -105-200

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 34 away games (+21.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+10.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 35 away games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+14.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 35 games at home (+14.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.05 Units / 55% ROI)

Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Bryson Stott 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Darick Hall 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Bryson Stott 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Darick Hall 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Phillies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Bryson Stott 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Darick Hall 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Gibson 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
Josiah Gray 5.5 -155 5.5 +110
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 94 games (+18.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games (+4.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+14.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 57 of their last 100 games (+11.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+10.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 46-61 against the Run Line (-23.1 Units / -17.55% ROI).

  • 36-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.75 Units / -17.74% ROI
  • 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.6% ROI
  • 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -6.37% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 54-51 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 2.39% ROI).

  • 57-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 0.78% ROI
  • 53-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.25% ROI
  • 47-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -9.52% ROI

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .796 (125 Total Bases / 157 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .548 — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 30 of 198 left-handed batters (15%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 56% (464/830) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (101 Total Bases / 161 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .417 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Gibson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (260/451) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 59% when ahead in the count (10th lowest)– 16th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (tied for ninth highest among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of 23% (17 SO in 75 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 86th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .182 (12-for-66) against Kyle Gibson on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Nationals are just 17-40 (.298) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Nationals are just 103-23 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Nationals are just 36-62 (.367) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Nationals are just 65-103 (.387) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Phillies are 12-36 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Phillies are 10-36 (.217) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Phillies are just 5-6 (.455) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 30-23 (.566) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 261 double plays in 1,970 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have just 231 strikeouts in 1,246 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Phillies hitters are slugging .503 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Phillies are 12-36 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Phillies hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 386 of their 1,590 plate appearances (24%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Phillies hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.71 (419.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .307 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .274 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .219.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .259 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .219.

The Phillies have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Phillies pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Phillies vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.