- The Tigers are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl, 22.50 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-165) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Lakeland.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Nationals vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Nationals are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 2-5 ATS.
Nationals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -110 | +140 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +110 | U 9 -110 | -165 |
Nationals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 81 away games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 95 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 27 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 108 games (+12.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -6.86% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 5% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -52.54% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 43.43% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-5 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -33.55% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -18.02% ROI
- 6-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 64.47% ROI
- 1-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -73.08% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season is 381.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 381.6 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 399.7
Opponents had a miss rate of just 13% (17/128) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (47/266) against Eduardo Rodriguez on non-fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Nationals are just 17-94 (.153) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are just 55-90 (.379) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 26-55 (.321) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 12-81 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals hitters had 63 extra-base hits out of 242 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters slugged just .488 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Nationals hitters are slugging .233 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Nationals vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
