- The – (37-23) are favorites vs the – (37-23)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (3-5), 4.97 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi (2-2), 4.43 ERA
- Watch the game on SN1
The Baltimore Orioles () visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 26-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-32 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | O | ||
| Blue Jays | U |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+13.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 37 games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games at home (+10.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 18 games (+8.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -190 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +115 |
| Jordan Lyles | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+14.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 42 games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+5.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 36-26 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 5.52% ROI).
- 26-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 1.18% ROI
- 28-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -8.05% ROI
- 31-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.43% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 28-32 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -8.54% ROI).
- 36-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.58% ROI
- 28-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -10.05% ROI
- 31-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.23% ROI
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .900 (27 Total Bases / 30 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .450 (58 Total Bases / 129 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .324 (145 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .774 (145 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .487 — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 25 of 159 right-handed batters (16%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.5 MPH on the road since the start of last season (296 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 88.7
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 19 of 136 batters (14%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 28 of 207 batters (14%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are just 9-21 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 11-21 (.344) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Orioles are just 21-69 (.233) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Orioles are just 25-145 (.147) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Blue Jays are 31-8 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Blue Jays are 19-10 (.655) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Blue Jays are 28-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .298 (5,487 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 35% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles are batting just .214 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .682 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,273 strikeouts in 6,329 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.25 (913.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 4 of 115 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 622 of 8,116 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 149 of 2,200 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
- Joseph Mancini (Orioles): Right Hand, Day-to-Day
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
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