- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MAS2 | RSN1
The Baltimore Orioles (-175) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+145) on Tuesday, June 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Orioles are 38-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-32 ATS.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 5-2, 2.36 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -115 | -175 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -105 | +145 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 95% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+7.85 Units / 131% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 103% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 20 games (+17.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+12.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 49 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.20 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 32-26 against the Run Line (+11.25 Units / 16.88% ROI).
- 38-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 10.69% ROI
- 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 9.91% ROI
- 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -17.49% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 27-32 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -13.33% ROI).
- 28-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -10.91% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -14.43% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 4.77% ROI
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 73% of the time (49/67) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 72% of the time (48/67) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (372/565) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 15 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .186 (96-for-515) against Alek Manoah since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has walked 67 of 518 batters (13%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .291 (150 Total Bases / 515 ABs) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .405 — 99th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .367 (518 PA’s) since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: .312 — second Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 26-15 (.634) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 27-31 (.466) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 25-17 (.595) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 19-11 (.633) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Blue Jays are 184-47 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Blue Jays are just 11-76 (.126) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .481 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .817 (611 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .316 (275 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles hitters are slugging .443 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 359 strikeouts in 1,900 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 605 strikeouts in 3,139 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .349 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 47% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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