- The Cardinals are -125 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Cardinals TV Channel: MAS2 | BSMW
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Monday, May 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Orioles are 29-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 22-24 ATS.
Orioles vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 3-3, 3.67 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 5-2, 3.08 ERA
Orioles vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 +100 | +105 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -120 | -125 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 38 games (+33.85 Units / 89% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+16.35 Units / 96% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 43 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+14.35 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+24.80 Units / 146% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+12.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+9.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.50 Units / 69% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 away games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 71% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.85 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 23-21 against the Run Line (+6.85 Units / 13.54% ROI).
- 29-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 8.47% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 4.87% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -13.27% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 22-24 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -7.69% ROI).
- 20-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -16.35% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -9.01% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.4% ROI
Cardinals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Cardinals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .090 (6-for-67) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .090 (6-for-67) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .179 (12 Total Bases / 67 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (21/124) against Dean Kremer this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .174 (54 Total Bases / 310 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .308 (102 Total Bases / 331 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 41% (21/51) against Sonny Gray this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Sonny Gray has not walked any of the 63 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Orioles are 45-3 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Orioles are 42-23 (.646) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cardinals are just 17-28 (.378) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 50-53 (.485) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Cardinals are just 9-89 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .511 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .854 (527 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Orioles hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 136 total hits (42%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .342 (527 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .203 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .377 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Cardinals have not scored first in any of their games against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have won 57% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 118 of 1,838 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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