Orioles vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 28, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (34-41) are -165 favorites vs the Orioles (35-40)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (2-1), 1.71 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (6-6), 4.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Baltimore Orioles (+140) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-165) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Orioles vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 35-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 37-38 ATS.

Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -150O 7.5 -110+140
Mariners -1.5 +125U 7.5 -110-165

Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+8.05 Units / 161% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 103% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.95 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +300 0.5 -450
Dylan Moore 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Jesse Winker 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Dylan Moore 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Ray 6.5 -125 6.5 -115
Dean Kremer 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 55 games (+17.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games (+14.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+7.50 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-27 against the Run Line (+16.05 Units / 16.86% ROI).

  • 35-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 13.15% ROI
  • 33-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -10.9% ROI
  • 39-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 3.34% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 37-38 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -7.65% ROI).

  • 34-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -8.22% ROI
  • 35-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -7.92% ROI
  • 38-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.36% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Orioles are 17-4 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Orioles are just 21-138 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

The Orioles are 6-36 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Orioles are just 8-23 (.258) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Mariners are just 15-19 (.441) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Mariners are just 2-32 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Mariners are just 5-8 (.385) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .923.

The Orioles have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .297 (5,872 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Orioles hitters have 219 strikeouts in 858 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Orioles are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .159 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters have drawn 94 walks in 801 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed 99 home runs this season — 4th most in MLB.

Mariners vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Oblique, D10
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.