- The Dodgers are -190 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV | ESPN+ | MLBN
The San Diego Padres (+155) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-8 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 0-1, 3.86 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 0-1, 9.01 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -120 | O 9 -105 | +155 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | U 9 -115 | -190 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+20.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+15.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+14.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+11.50 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+14.40 Units / 96% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 146 games (+15.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 7-8 against the Run Line (+0.97 Units / 5.81% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.21 Units / -11.57% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.53 Units / -3.19% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -3.63% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.64 Units / -9.87% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 4.37% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.42 Units / 20.5% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -29.23% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Waldron has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 40% (6/15) of opposing batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 10% (4/39) against Matt Waldron over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 36% of Matt Waldron’s non-fastballs (32/88) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 47% — fourth Percentile.
Matt Waldron has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 48% (15/31) of opposing batters this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (8/15) against Gavin Stone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Gavin Stone this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .253 — second Percentile.
Gavin Stone has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (35/82) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has allowed a BABIP of .520 this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .299 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 4-15 (.211) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Padres are just 16-30 (.348) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Padres are just 7-126 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 197-31 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers were 45-17 (.726) after a loss in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Padres hitters have an OPS of .807 (1,804 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Padres hitters are slugging .473 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .371.
The Padres batted .271 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 21 double plays in 393 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Dodgers have scored 1.61 runs per game (547/340) in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.3 MPH (313 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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