- The Padres are -125 favorites vs the Giants
- Padres vs Giants Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Padres / Giants TV Channel: PDTV | NSBA | MLBN
The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Padres are 83-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 72-76 ATS.
Padres vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Martin Perez 4-5, 4.42 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 0-1, 3.47 ERA
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -120 | -125 |
| Giants | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 +100 | +105 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mason McCoy has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Mason McCoy has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.30 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 50 games (+30.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Giants Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 74-74 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.23% ROI).
- 83-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 1.35% ROI
- 81-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.05 Units / 6.83% ROI
- 64-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.95 Units / -15.81% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 72-76 against the Run Line (-10.5 Units / -5.45% ROI).
- 72-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -7.63% ROI
- 75-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 67-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.55 Units / -9.53% ROI
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Donovan Solano (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez (SD) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Landen Roupp (SF) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has allowed an OPS of 1.080 (118 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .750 — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of .673 (74 Total Bases / 110 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .428 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .373 (41-for-110) against Martin Perez when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .260 — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed an OBP of .317 (262 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Landen Roupp has not allowed a home run in any of the last 31.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 84.1.
Landen Roupp has allowed an OBP of just .143 (21 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (17/27) against Landen Roupp this month (3 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 40% of Landen Roupp’s pitches (57/143) this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 17-11 (.607) after a road loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Padres are 70-57 (.551) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Padres are 26-19 (.578) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 26-19 (.578) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are just 38-41 (.481) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Giants are 46-29 (.613) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Giants are 124-4 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are just 33-49 (.402) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 2 strikeouts in 35 PA’s (6%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Padres are batting .280 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters have just 2 strikeouts in 35 PA’s (6%) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres hitters have just 251 strikeouts in 1,506 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .217 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Giants hitters are slugging just .248 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Giants hitters have 129 strikeouts in 433 PA’s (30%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (7,555 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 262 of 4,198 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
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