Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 13, 2022, 10:58 AM
  • The Padres (50-39) are -175 favorites vs the Rockies (39-49)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Joseph Musgrove (8-2), 2.09 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (6-5), 4.01 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The San Diego Padres (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 50-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 45-43 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 -115O 10.5 -105-175
Rockies +1.5 -105U 10.5 -115+145

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 52.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 away games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jose Azocar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.15 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
    C.J. Cron 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

    Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
    C.J. Cron 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Connor Joe 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Elias Diaz 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
    Jose Iglesias 1.5 +125 1.5 -175

    Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
    C.J. Cron 0.5 +110 0.5 -160
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
    Connor Joe 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Elias Diaz 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

    Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chad Kuhl 3.5 -125 3.5 -115
    Joe Musgrove 4.5 -145 4.5 +100
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 64 games (+10.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+7.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 77 games (+5.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 43-46 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -2.94% ROI).

    • 50-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 1.6% ROI
    • 39-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -13.65% ROI
    • 48-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 4.84% ROI

    Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 45-43 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • 39-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -2.11% ROI
    • 41-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -4.68% ROI
    • 41-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -4.56% ROI

    Opponents are hitting just .194 (69-for-356) against Joe Musgrove this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 92nd Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 10% (2/19) against Joe Musgrove — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

    Joe Musgrove has allowed an OPS of just .576 (385 PA’s) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 91st Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Joe Musgrove this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.

    Chad Kuhl: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (33 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — third Percentile.

    Chad Kuhl has thrown his fastball for a strike just 55% (835/1,528) of the time since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

    13 of Chad Kuhl’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.

    Chad Kuhl has thrown his fastball for a strike just 56% (662/1,182) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

    Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

    The Padres are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .112.

    The Padres are 27-19 (.587) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

    The Padres are 41-11 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

    The Padres are just 37-6 (.860) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.

    Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

    The Rockies are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Rockies are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

    The Rockies are 7-37 (.159) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .112.

    Padres hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

    Padres hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,572 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

    Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

    Padres hitters have drawn 263 walks in 2,746 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7.

    The Rockies are batting .286 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    The Rockies are batting .274 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

    The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

    The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8

    In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8

    Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.1 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
  • Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, D7
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.