Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 13, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Padres (50-39) are -175 favorites vs the Rockies (39-49)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Joseph Musgrove (8-2), 2.09 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (6-5), 4.01 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The San Diego Padres (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 50-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 45-43 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 -115O 10.5 -105-175
Rockies +1.5 -105U 10.5 -115+145

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 52.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 away games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jose Azocar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.15 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
    C.J. Cron 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

    Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
    C.J. Cron 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Connor Joe 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Elias Diaz 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
    Jose Iglesias 1.5 +125 1.5 -175

    Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
    C.J. Cron 0.5 +110 0.5 -160
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
    Connor Joe 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Elias Diaz 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

    Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chad Kuhl 3.5 -125 3.5 -115
    Joe Musgrove 4.5 -145 4.5 +100
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 64 games (+10.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+7.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 77 games (+5.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 43-46 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -2.94% ROI).

    • 50-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 1.6% ROI
    • 39-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -13.65% ROI
    • 48-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 4.84% ROI

    Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 45-43 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • 39-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -2.11% ROI
    • 41-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -4.68% ROI
    • 41-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -4.56% ROI

    Opponents are hitting just .194 (69-for-356) against Joe Musgrove this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 92nd Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 10% (2/19) against Joe Musgrove — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

    Joe Musgrove has allowed an OPS of just .576 (385 PA’s) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 91st Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Joe Musgrove this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.

    Chad Kuhl: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (33 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — third Percentile.

    Chad Kuhl has thrown his fastball for a strike just 55% (835/1,528) of the time since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

    13 of Chad Kuhl’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.

    Chad Kuhl has thrown his fastball for a strike just 56% (662/1,182) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

    Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

    The Padres are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .112.

    The Padres are 27-19 (.587) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

    The Padres are 41-11 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

    The Padres are just 37-6 (.860) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.

    Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

    The Rockies are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Rockies are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

    The Rockies are 7-37 (.159) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .112.

    Padres hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

    Padres hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,572 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

    Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

    Padres hitters have drawn 263 walks in 2,746 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7.

    The Rockies are batting .286 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    The Rockies are batting .274 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

    The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

    The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8

    In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8

    Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.1 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
  • Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, D7
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.