Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 24, 2022, 11:09 AM
  • The Rockies (65-86) are +170 underdogs vs the Padres (83-68)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (15-7), 3.05 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (6-9), 5.48 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Diego Padres (-200) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+170) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at 2.5.

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 82-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 80-69 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-2.5O 10.5 -105-200
Rockies +2.5U 10.5 -115+170

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+14.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 57 away games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 29 away games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 126 games (+8.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 65-84 against the Run Line (-25.3 Units / -13.67% ROI).

  • 82-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -5.73% ROI
  • 70-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -7.84% ROI
  • 76-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.54% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 80-69 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 1.76% ROI).

  • 64-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -2.16% ROI
  • 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -7.43% ROI
  • 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -2.08% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .067 (3-for-45) against Yu Darvish — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OPS of just .154 (46 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .657 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .165 (44-for-266) against Yu Darvish’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 95th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .253 (719 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 91st Percentile.

Chad Kuhl: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .459 (28-for-61) against Chad Kuhl on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .277 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .469 (38-for-81) against Chad Kuhl on low fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 0 Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has an ERA of 7.69 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 3.88 — 0 Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has allowed at least one HR in each of his last 11 games dating back to July 3rd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 29-9 (.763) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Padres are 68-22 (.756) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Padres are 20-2 (.909) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Padres are 66-7 (.904) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 24-48 (.333) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Rockies are just 9-15 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 14-41 (.255) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Rockies are just 58-70 (.453) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Padres are batting just .143 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Padres are batting just .229 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,629 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Rockies are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Rockies hitters are slugging just .343 on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Padres pitchers this month (19 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.0 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.4

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Hamstring, D10
  • José Iglesias (Rockies): Hand, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.