- The Phillies (44-39) are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals (45-40)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (7-4), 2.65 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (6-6), 3.25 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Philadelphia Phillies (-130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Friday, July 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 44-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-39 ATS.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -105 | -130 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -115 | +105 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.55 Units / 82% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Romine | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Romine | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Romine | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -115 |
| Zack Wheeler | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+10.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+9.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 62 games (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 42-41 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.4% ROI).
- 44-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -2.57% ROI
- 45-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 6.02% ROI
- 36-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -14.72% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 46-39 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 3.36% ROI).
- 45-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -1.32% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -6.07% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -3.05% ROI
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (349/798) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,395/3,140) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (17/46) against Zack Wheeler with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.2 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (370 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 85.4
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (63/326) against Adam Wainwright this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (119/675) against Adam Wainwright this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has a strikeout rate of just 21% (28 SO in 134 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — seventh Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Adam Wainwright’s pitches (255/481) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 8-29 (.216) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .081.
The Phillies are 20-18 (.526) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .109.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .919.
The Cardinals are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Cardinals are 24-16 (.600) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Cardinals are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .742 (1,483 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .334 (948 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Phillies hitters have just 18 strikeouts in 106 PA’s (17%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 191 extra-base hits out of 443 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,921 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Cardinals hitters have 218 extra-base hits out of 515 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .274 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .254 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Phillies pitchers have walked 142 of 2,166 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 77 of 753 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 878 of 9,208 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 84 double plays in 636 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Johan Oviedo (Cardinals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Illness, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
- Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Back, D15
- Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
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