Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Phillies (44-39) are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals (45-40)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (7-4), 2.65 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (6-6), 3.25 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Philadelphia Phillies (-130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Friday, July 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 44-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-39 ATS.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +135O 7.5 -105-130
Cardinals +1.5 -160U 7.5 -115+105

Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.55 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)

Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Romine 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Conner Capel 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Juan Yepez 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Romine 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Conner Capel 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Juan Yepez 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Romine 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Conner Capel 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Juan Yepez 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Wainwright 4.5 -125 4.5 -115
Zack Wheeler 5.5 -140 5.5 -105
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+10.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+9.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 62 games (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 42-41 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.4% ROI).

  • 44-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -2.57% ROI
  • 45-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 6.02% ROI
  • 36-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -14.72% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 46-39 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 3.36% ROI).

  • 45-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -1.32% ROI
  • 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -6.07% ROI
  • 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -3.05% ROI

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (349/798) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,395/3,140) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (17/46) against Zack Wheeler with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.2 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (370 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 85.4

Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (63/326) against Adam Wainwright this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (119/675) against Adam Wainwright this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has a strikeout rate of just 21% (28 SO in 134 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — seventh Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 53% of Adam Wainwright’s pitches (255/481) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 8-29 (.216) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .081.

The Phillies are 20-18 (.526) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Cardinals are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .919.

The Cardinals are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Cardinals are 24-16 (.600) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Cardinals are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .742 (1,483 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .334 (948 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Phillies hitters have just 18 strikeouts in 106 PA’s (17%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals hitters have 191 extra-base hits out of 443 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,921 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Cardinals hitters have 218 extra-base hits out of 515 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .274 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .254 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Phillies pitchers have walked 142 of 2,166 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 77 of 753 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 878 of 9,208 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 84 double plays in 636 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Johan Oviedo (Cardinals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Illness, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Back, D15
  • Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.