Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 31, 2022, 11:30 AM
  • The Phillies (72-58) are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (61-67)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Bailey Falter (2-3), 4.41 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry (3-2), 3.25 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 71-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 74-51 ATS.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +120O 9.5 -115-135
Diamondbacks +1.5 -145U 9.5 -105+110

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 48 away games (+14.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 52 away games (+13.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 44 of his last 89 games (+16.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 59 of his last 89 games (+12.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alek Thomas 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
    Carson Kelly 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
    Christian Walker 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
    Daulton Varsho 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

    Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alek Thomas 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Carson Kelly 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
    Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Daulton Varsho 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
    Emmanuel Rivera 1.5 +170 1.5 -250

    Diamondbacks vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alek Thomas 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Carson Kelly 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
    Christian Walker 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
    Daulton Varsho 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

    Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Tommy Henry 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
    Bailey Falter 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 72 of their last 125 games (+15.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 50 games (+24.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 6 games (+7.70 Units / 119% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 66-62 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 1.64% ROI).

    • 71-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 1.7% ROI
    • 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.21% ROI
    • 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -7.03% ROI

    Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 74-51 against the Run Line (+20.5 Units / 12.76% ROI).

    • 60-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.45% ROI
    • 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -8.84% ROI
    • 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.58% ROI

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (6/24) against Bailey Falter — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (10/32) against Bailey Falter — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.

    Bailey Falter allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (12 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .365 — sixth Percentile.

    Thomas Henry: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (8/26) against Tommy Henry — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.

    Tommy Henry has allowed an OBP of .300 (60 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 12th Percentile.

    Tommy Henry has walked 12 of 100 right-handed batters (12%) this month (5 games) — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.

    Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (16/28) against Tommy Henry — tied for 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — third Percentile.

    Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

    The Phillies are 11-44 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

    The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Phillies are 13-44 (.228) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

    The Phillies are 21-3 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

    Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

    The Diamondbacks are just 101-30 (.771) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

    The Diamondbacks are just 112-19 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

    The Diamondbacks are 9-48 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

    The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    Phillies hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

    Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,413 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

    Phillies hitters are slugging .483 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

    Phillies hitters have an OPS of .779 (1,413 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

    The Diamondbacks are batting just .213 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

    Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .280 (571 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

    The Diamondbacks are batting just .202 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

    Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Phillies pitchers have walked 166 of 2,580 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Phillies have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH since the start of last season (7,039 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

    Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Nicholas Castellanos (Phillies): Toe, Day-to-Day
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
  • Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Zachary Wheeler (Phillies): Forearm, D15
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.