- The Phillies (72-58) are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (61-67)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Bailey Falter (2-3), 4.41 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry (3-2), 3.25 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 71-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 74-51 ATS.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +120 | O 9.5 -115 | -135 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -145 | U 9.5 -105 | +110 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Henry | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Bailey Falter | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 66-62 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 1.64% ROI).
- 71-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 1.7% ROI
- 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -7.03% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 74-51 against the Run Line (+20.5 Units / 12.76% ROI).
- 60-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.45% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -8.84% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.58% ROI
Bailey Falter: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (6/24) against Bailey Falter — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (10/32) against Bailey Falter — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Bailey Falter allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (12 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .365 — sixth Percentile.
Thomas Henry: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (8/26) against Tommy Henry — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.
Tommy Henry has allowed an OBP of .300 (60 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 12th Percentile.
Tommy Henry has walked 12 of 100 right-handed batters (12%) this month (5 games) — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (16/28) against Tommy Henry — tied for 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — third Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are 11-44 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 13-44 (.228) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Phillies are 21-3 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are just 101-30 (.771) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 112-19 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are 9-48 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,413 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Phillies hitters are slugging .483 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .779 (1,413 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .213 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .280 (571 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .202 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 166 of 2,580 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH since the start of last season (7,039 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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