- The Phillies (73-59) are -120 favorites vs the Giants (62-68)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (8-9), 3.98 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-4), 4.04 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+100) on Saturday, September 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Phillies vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 72-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 57-69 ATS.
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -110 | -120 |
Giants | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -110 | +100 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 49 away games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 53 away games (+15.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+13.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 43 games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Austin Wynns | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Evan Longoria | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Austin Wynns | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Evan Longoria | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Austin Wynns | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Evan Longoria | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jake Junis | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Noah Syndergaard | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 74 of their last 127 games (+17.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 away games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.42 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games at home (+16.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.48 Units / 3% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 67-62 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 2.37% ROI).
- 72-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 1.68% ROI
- 65-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 0.21% ROI
- 59-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -8.46% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 57-69 against the Run Line (-20.75 Units / -13.17% ROI).
- 61-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -26 Units / -13.76% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -1.95% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -7% ROI
Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 28 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 23 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed a slugging percentage of .759 (22 Total Bases / 29 ABs) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .397 — second Percentile.
Jakob Junis: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jakob Junis has walked 1 of 126 batters (1%) versus the top of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 61% of the time (158/258) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Jakob Junis’ pitches in the zone (416/704) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.
Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 51% of the time (664/1,293) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 11-45 (.196) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Phillies are 13-45 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 34-29 (.540) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are just 21-59 (.262) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Giants are 6-54 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Giants are 92-82 (.529) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .442 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Phillies are batting .269 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,448 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .783 (1,448 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .373 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Giants hitters have drawn 316 walks in 3,224 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .251 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .223.
The Phillies have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .262 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 773 of 10,885 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 161 of 2,617 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
- Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
- Zachary Wheeler (Phillies): Forearm, D15
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
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