Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 12, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Mets (73-39) are -225 favorites vs the Phillies (62-49)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez (8-5), 3.67 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer (8-2), 1.97 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Philadelphia Phillies (+180) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-225) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Phillies vs Mets Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 62-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 63-49 ATS.

Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies+1.5 -125O 7 -110+180
Mets -1.5 +105U 7 -110-225

Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 53.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 44 away games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 42 away games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+14.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games at home (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)

Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Darin Ruf 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +1050 0.5

Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Darin Ruf 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jeff McNeil 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Darin Ruf 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Scherzer 7.5 -150 7.5 +105
Ranger Suarez 3.5 -175 3.5 +120
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 61 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 106 games (+13.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+12.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 50 games at home (+25.22 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 112 games (+21.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 112 games (+16.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+15.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 58-53 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 3.79% ROI).

  • 62-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 2.93% ROI
  • 55-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.16% ROI
  • 50-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -8.35% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 63-49 against the Run Line (+16.8 Units / 12.34% ROI).

  • 73-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.75 Units / 12.78% ROI
  • 58-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 4.83% ROI
  • 47-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.3 Units / -13.3% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (17/130) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .160 (27-for-169) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (120/202) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has an average spin rate of 1893.3 RPM on fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 2224.9 — first Percentile.

Maxwell Scherzer: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Scherzer has struck out 36% (196/540) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .120 (25 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .300 — 98th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .219 (539 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .243 (1,061 PA’s) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 99th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Phillies are 13-37 (.260) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Phillies are 11-37 (.229) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Phillies are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 51-18 (.739) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mets are 54-5 (.915) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Mets are 38-18 (.679) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Mets are 26-5 (.839) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Mets are 25-12 (.676) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.091 (56 PA’s) against LHP this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .333 (1,197 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Phillies are batting .340 against LHP this month (5 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Phillies hitters are slugging .680 against LHP this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.

The Mets have scored first in 71% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .270 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.

Mets hitters have just 577 strikeouts in 2,947 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .323 (7,011 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Phillies pitchers have walked 61 of 987 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies pitchers have walked 153 of 2,412 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.