- The Orioles are -130 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-130) on Friday, June 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Phillies are 46-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 41-27 ATS.
Phillies vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 10-1, 1.84 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 2-0, 2.60 ERA
Phillies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -105 | +110 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -115 | -130 |
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 away games (+18.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 37 games (+15.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+12.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 25 games at home (+26.20 Units / 105% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 42% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 53 games (+19.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 51 games (+18.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 51 games (+18.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 52 games (+17.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 59 games (+21.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 53 games (+19.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 38-30 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 11.3% ROI).
- 46-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 12.15% ROI
- 29-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -12.77% ROI
- 35-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 3.81% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 41-27 against the Run Line (+21.25 Units / 26.9% ROI).
- 45-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.05 Units / 13.47% ROI
- 33-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 8.19% ROI
- 25-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -15.44% ROI
Orioles vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .092 (14-for-152) against Ranger Suarez with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .181 (51-for-282) against Ranger Suarez this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 96th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (19 Total Bases / 152 ABs) with two-strikes this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (204/341) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.4 MPH (65 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 89.1 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (48/157) against Kyle Bradish on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.4 MPH this season (65 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 89.1
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a home run in any of the last 55.1 innings he’s appeared — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Phillies are 40-5 (.889) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Phillies are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Phillies are 7-13 (.350) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .156.
The Phillies are 14-17 (.452) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Orioles are 5-16 (.238) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Orioles are 49-25 (.662) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .316 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Phillies hitters are slugging .440 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Phillies are batting .261 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Phillies have scored first in 77% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .449 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Orioles hitters are slugging .444 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters have drawn 130 walks in 1,878 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .128 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (207.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Orioles pitchers have walked 39 of 615 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (285.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Orioles vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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