Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 09, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (49-59) are -155 favorites vs the Pirates (44-65)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson (3-8), 5.14 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry (0-1), 7.20 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 44-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 62-46 ATS.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -150O 8.5 -110+125
Diamondbacks -1.5 +125U 8.5 -110-155

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 71.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+9.55 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Ben Gamel has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ben Gamel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 39 of his last 69 games (+26.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 51 of his last 72 games (+18.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 61 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 47 of his last 69 games (+12.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+11.10 Units / 85% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Carson Kelly 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Christian Walker 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Carson Kelly 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Diamondbacks vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Carson Kelly 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Thompson 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
Henry 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 away games (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 50 away games (+5.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 97 games (+15.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games at home (+7.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.90 Units / 60% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 57-52 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.31% ROI).

  • 44-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.49% ROI
  • 46-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -12.63% ROI
  • 56-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 4.43% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 62-46 against the Run Line (+13.15 Units / 9.44% ROI).

  • 49-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -3.91% ROI
  • 48-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -10.32% ROI
  • 55-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 1.09% ROI

Zach Thompson has a strikeout rate of just 33% (60 SO in 183 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (18/128) against Zach Thompson with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Zach Thompson has struck out just 14% (29/205) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.

Zach Thompson has a strike rate of just 62% (207/332) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 69% — third Percentile.

Thomas Henry: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tommy Henry has limited playing time.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Pirates are just 85-22 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Pirates are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Pirates are just 51-116 (.305) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Pirates are just 15-57 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Diamondbacks are just 93-27 (.775) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 102-18 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 48-113 (.298) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Pirates have answered-back in just 23% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .363 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Pirates are batting just .140 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .220 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .193 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Pirates pitchers have walked 216 of 2,361 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 982 of 10,349 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Groin, D10
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • José Godoy (Pirates): Cramping/Illness, Day-to-Day
  • David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.