- The Diamondbacks (49-59) are -155 favorites vs the Pirates (44-65)
- Pirates starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson (3-8), 5.14 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry (0-1), 7.20 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Pirates vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 44-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 62-46 ATS.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -110 | +125 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -110 | -155 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 71.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+9.55 Units / 122% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 39 of his last 69 games (+26.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 51 of his last 72 games (+18.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 61 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 47 of his last 69 games (+12.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+11.10 Units / 85% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Thompson | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +115 |
| Henry | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 away games (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 50 away games (+5.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 73% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 97 games (+15.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games at home (+7.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.90 Units / 60% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 57-52 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.31% ROI).
- 44-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 46-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -12.63% ROI
- 56-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 4.43% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 62-46 against the Run Line (+13.15 Units / 9.44% ROI).
- 49-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -3.91% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -10.32% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 1.09% ROI
Zachary Thompson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Thompson has a strikeout rate of just 33% (60 SO in 183 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (18/128) against Zach Thompson with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Zach Thompson has struck out just 14% (29/205) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.
Zach Thompson has a strike rate of just 62% (207/332) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 69% — third Percentile.
Thomas Henry: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tommy Henry has limited playing time.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Pirates are just 85-22 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Pirates are just 51-116 (.305) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Pirates are just 15-57 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Diamondbacks are just 93-27 (.775) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 102-18 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 48-113 (.298) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates have answered-back in just 23% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .363 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Pirates are batting just .140 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .220 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .193 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 216 of 2,361 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 982 of 10,349 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Groin, D10
- Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- José Godoy (Pirates): Cramping/Illness, Day-to-Day
- David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
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