- The Pirates are + favorites vs the Rockies
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Pirates vs Rockies Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 4-14 ATS.
Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | + + | O + | + |
| Rockies | + + | U + | + |
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jason Delay | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Jason Delay | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 away games (+9.60 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+7.20 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 30% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 11-7 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 6.69% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 41.89% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.26% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 4-14 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -53.75% ROI).
- 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -37.04% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -5.58% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -2.1% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has a strikeout rate of 53% (9 SO in 17 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 55% (17/31) against Johan Oviedo with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (31/54) against Johan Oviedo this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 92nd Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has thrown breaking pitches 66% of the time (41/62) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .892 (33 Total Bases / 37 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .402 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have not swung and missed (0/16) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.754 (16 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .750 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (31/66) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 23-91 (.202) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Pirates are just 108-75 (.590) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Pirates are just 58-133 (.304) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Pirates are just 96-26 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 25-13 (.658) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rockies are just 44-27 (.620) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Rockies are just 13-30 (.302) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 15-49 (.234) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 179 PA’s (12%) in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .147 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .337 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 654 of 6,933 batters (9%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 303 of 3,367 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,260 of 13,073 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Pirates pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.33 (821.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Rockies pitchers have walked 21 of 155 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Chase De Jong (Pirates): Knee, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D10
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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