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- Pirates vs Rockies Over / Under today: Runs
- Pirates / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-110) on Friday, June 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Pirates are 32-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 34-34 ATS.
Pirates vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-5, 5.72 ERA
Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | + + | O + | -110 |
| Rockies | + + | U + | -110 |
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+11.50 Units / 88% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.50 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games (+25.70 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+8.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+13.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+8.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+10.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 36-32 against the Run Line (+1.11 Units / 1.24% ROI).
- 32-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 33-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -0.93% ROI
- 31-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.67 Units / -6.27% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 34-34 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -7.7% ROI).
- 24-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -5.95% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -1.56% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -7.19% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carmen Mlodzinski has a strike rate of 72% (37/51) over the past seven days (2 games) — 10th highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 66% — 89th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Carmen Mlodzinski’s pitches (30/51) over the past seven days (2 games) — 9th highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 49% — 90th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .331 (45-for-136) against Ryan Feltner’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .213 — first Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has thrown elevated sliders36% of the time (127/350) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .313 (47-for-150) against Ryan Feltner this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .537 (73 Total Bases / 136 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .342 — second Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 15-24 (.385) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 28-46 (.378) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Pirates are 52-11 (.825) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Pirates are just 19-29 (.396) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 20-20 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 58-36 (.617) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 43-31 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are just 65-18 (.783) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 407 strikeouts in 1,197 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Pirates hitters have 49 strikeouts in 120 PA’s (41%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .235 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,392 of 15,104 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 4,076 times since the 2022 season — 5th most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.77 (1276.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Pirates won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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