Rangers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 08, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Guardians (25-26) are -165 favorites vs the Rangers (26-29)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-3), 4.109 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-3), 3.115 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-165) on Wednesday, June 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rangers vs Guardians Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 26-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 27-24 ATS.

Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -155O 7 +100+135
Guardians -1.5 +125U 7 -120-165

Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+8.20 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+6.30 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+2.15 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+16.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.82 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 42 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.83 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 49 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 33-22 against the Run Line (+8.25 Units / 11.47% ROI).

  • 26-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.08% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -8.84% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.57% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 27-24 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 2.25% ROI).

  • 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.6% ROI
  • 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.8% ROI
  • 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -8.13% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (92/176) against Dane Dunning this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 90th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (57/95) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of .464 (39 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — second Percentile.

Dane Dunning has thrown low pitches 69% of the time (539/787) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.

Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 61% of the time (560/920) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 66% of the time (164/248) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (135/446) against Shane Bieber this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 89th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (86/260) against Shane Bieber this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rangers are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Rangers are just 18-3 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Rangers are just 18-112 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Guardians are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Guardians are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Guardians are just 13-17 (.433) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Guardians are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

Rangers hitters have drawn 174 walks in 2,585 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (968 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,270 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (4,003 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have just 248 strikeouts in 1,385 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Guardians have answered-back in 47% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Rangers pitchers have walked 51 of 490 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Guardians vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.