Rangers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 8

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 08, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Guardians (25-26) are -165 favorites vs the Rangers (26-29)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-3), 4.109 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-3), 3.115 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-165) on Wednesday, June 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rangers vs Guardians Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 26-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 27-24 ATS.

Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -155O 7 +100+135
Guardians -1.5 +125U 7 -120-165

Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+8.20 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+6.30 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+2.15 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+16.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.82 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 42 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.83 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 49 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 33-22 against the Run Line (+8.25 Units / 11.47% ROI).

  • 26-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.08% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -8.84% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.57% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 27-24 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 2.25% ROI).

  • 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.6% ROI
  • 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.8% ROI
  • 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -8.13% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (92/176) against Dane Dunning this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 90th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (57/95) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of .464 (39 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — second Percentile.

Dane Dunning has thrown low pitches 69% of the time (539/787) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.

Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 61% of the time (560/920) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 66% of the time (164/248) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (135/446) against Shane Bieber this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 89th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (86/260) against Shane Bieber this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rangers are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Rangers are just 18-3 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Rangers are just 18-112 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Guardians are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Guardians are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Guardians are just 13-17 (.433) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Guardians are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

Rangers hitters have drawn 174 walks in 2,585 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (968 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,270 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (4,003 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have just 248 strikeouts in 1,385 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Guardians have answered-back in 47% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Rangers pitchers have walked 51 of 490 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Guardians vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.