- The Rangers (56-67) are -140 favorites vs the Rockies (54-70)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (9-4), 2.79 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña (2-4), 4.70 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Texas Rangers (-140) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+115) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rangers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 53-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 65-56 ATS.
Rangers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +105 | O 11 -110 | -140 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -130 | U 11 -110 | +115 |
Rangers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 34 games (+21.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 45 away games (+16.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 away games (+15.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+14.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Brian Serven has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 45 away games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 32 games at home (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 68-52 against the Run Line (+11.45 Units / 7.32% ROI).
- 53-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -9.11% ROI
- 58-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 52-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -8.63% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 65-56 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 1.54% ROI).
- 53-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -2.03% ROI
- 58-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -3.25% ROI
- 56-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -6.22% ROI
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .161 (18-for-112) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — 97th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of 27% (35 SO in 130 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (808/1,855) against Martin Perez this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (212/995) against Martin Perez this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 16th Percentile.
José Ureña: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urena has struck out just 10% (36/363) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of .426 (263 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Jose Urena has a strike rate of just 58% (757/1,298) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .319 (101-for-317) against Jose Urena since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Rangers are just 44-8 (.846) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 41-8 (.837) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Rangers are 9-8 (.529) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 27-34 (.443) at home this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rockies are 43-3 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rockies are just 12-31 (.279) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 12-33 (.267) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,158 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (3,495 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 38% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (624/4,608 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .367 (1,311 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .349 (2,566 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 104 of 1,097 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 16% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 434 of 4,669 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6
Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 113 double plays in 882 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Colomé (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Kuhl (Rockies): Hip, D15
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
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