- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Texas Rangers (-125) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 5-12 ATS.
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -115 | -125 |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -105 | +105 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 63.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.65 Units / 106% ROI)
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nate Lowe | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brad Keller | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 9-7 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 4.88% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 16.7% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 17.93% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -28.74% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 5-12 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -44.39% ROI).
- 4-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -43.24% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 6.35% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -15.68% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .400 (14-for-35) against Nathan Eovaldi’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Nathan Eovaldi’s curve and slider this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .323 (21-for-65) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — seventh Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .343 (12-for-35) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 11th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has thrown his fastball for a strike just 49% (75/152) of the time this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Brad Keller has located his fastball up for a strike just 32% (17/53) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 49% (35/71) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Brad Keller has thrown his slider 57% of the time (42/73) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 33-31 (.516) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Rangers are just 63-11 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rangers are just 32-48 (.400) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Rangers are just 38-50 (.432) as favorites since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 2-6 (.250) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Royals are just 5-47 (.096) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 1-10 (.091) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Royals are just 4-11 (.267) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .149 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .122 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,836 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .264 (611 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .539 (388 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .256 (388 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .589 (483 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 153 of 1,582 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 632 of 6,753 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 9 of 152 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
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