- The Twins (62-55) are -175 favorites vs the Rangers (53-66)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (5-8), 4.95 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (2-6), 4.15 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-175) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 52-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 55-62 ATS.
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -110 | +145 |
| Twins | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -110 | -175 |
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 away games (+14.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+14.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 away games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+17.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 22 games at home (+17.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+15.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 45 games at home (+14.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 37 games at home (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Archer | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Glenn Otto | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 80 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 115 games (+16.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.25 Units / 64% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 66-52 against the Run Line (+9.45 Units / 6.16% ROI).
- 52-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -9.8% ROI
- 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.11% ROI
- 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.66% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-62 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -6.74% ROI).
- 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.1% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -1.86% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -5.72% ROI
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Glenn Otto has walked 10 of 49 batters (20%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 18 of 92 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 5 of 20 left-handed batters (25%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Glenn Otto has allowed an OPS of 2.083 (16 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .980 — second Percentile.
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (53/121) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 53% of the time (202/380) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.
Chris Archer has located his fastball up for a strike just 45% (137/306) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown off-speed pitches 72% of the time (275/380) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total NonFB; League Avg: 39% — 99th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 41-8 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rangers are 30-6 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Rangers are just 50-60 (.455) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rangers are just 27-34 (.443) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are 35-25 (.583) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Twins are just 9-22 (.290) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 7-38 (.156) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,262 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (3,822 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .693 (3,137 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Rangers hitters have pulled 52% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .423 on the road since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Twins hitters are slugging .424 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Twins hitters are slugging .604 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Twins hitters are slugging .920 with the pitcher behind in the count over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 103 of 1,061 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 20 of 160 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (18 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 1.64 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
- Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15
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