Rangers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 20

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 20, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Twins (62-55) are -175 favorites vs the Rangers (53-66)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (5-8), 4.95 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (2-6), 4.15 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-175) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 52-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 55-62 ATS.

Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -135O 8.5 -110+145
Twins -1.5 +110U 8.5 -110-175

Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 away games (+14.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+14.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 away games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+17.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 22 games at home (+17.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+15.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 45 games at home (+14.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 37 games at home (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)

Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Carlos Correa 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Jose Miranda 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Carlos Correa 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Jorge Polanco 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jose Miranda 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Carlos Correa 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Jose Miranda 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Archer 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
Glenn Otto 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 80 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 115 games (+16.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.25 Units / 64% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 66-52 against the Run Line (+9.45 Units / 6.16% ROI).

  • 52-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -9.8% ROI
  • 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.11% ROI
  • 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.66% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-62 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -6.74% ROI).

  • 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.1% ROI
  • 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -1.86% ROI
  • 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -5.72% ROI

Glenn Otto has walked 10 of 49 batters (20%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 18 of 92 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 5 of 20 left-handed batters (25%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Glenn Otto has allowed an OPS of 2.083 (16 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .980 — second Percentile.

Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (53/121) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Chris Archer has thrown his slider 53% of the time (202/380) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.

Chris Archer has located his fastball up for a strike just 45% (137/306) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.

Chris Archer has thrown off-speed pitches 72% of the time (275/380) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total NonFB; League Avg: 39% — 99th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rangers are just 41-8 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Rangers are 30-6 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Rangers are just 50-60 (.455) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rangers are just 27-34 (.443) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Twins are 35-25 (.583) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Twins are just 9-22 (.290) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 7-38 (.156) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,262 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (3,822 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .693 (3,137 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Rangers hitters have pulled 52% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Twins hitters are slugging .423 on the road since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Twins hitters are slugging .424 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Twins hitters are slugging .604 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

Twins hitters are slugging .920 with the pitcher behind in the count over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Rangers pitchers have walked 103 of 1,061 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 20 of 160 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (18 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 1.64 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.