- The Astros are -155 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+130) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-155) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rays are 55-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 54-54 ATS.
Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-1, 3.66 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-9, 4.76 ERA
Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 +100 | +130 |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -120 | -155 |
Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 20 away games (+20.60 Units / 103% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+14.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 27 games (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games at home (+20.50 Units / 82% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+20.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+11.75 Units / 51% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 66 of their last 105 games (+24.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 99 games (+11.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 away games (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 91 games (+13.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+7.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 53-55 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -3.5% ROI).
- 55-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -6.4% ROI
- 52-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -5.01% ROI
- 53-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -3.2% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-54 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 0.19% ROI).
- 56-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -6.98% ROI
- 44-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.5 Units / -19.04% ROI
- 61-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.5 Units / 10.45% ROI
Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Siri (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alex Jackson (TB) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Siri (TB) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (8/13) against Shane Baz in his last start — tied for 6th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed an OPS of just .332 (22 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .664 — 95th Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed an OBP of just .182 (22 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .281 — 91st Percentile.
The last hit on a Shane Baz breaking pitch was July 21st. Hitters are 0 for their last 16 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Tyler Glasnow has the longest active streak at 25.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .468 (29-for-62) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 (52-for-182) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .234 (11-for-47) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .272 (125-for-459) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 11th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 77-10 (.885) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rays are 55-4 (.932) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are 72-43 (.626) after a loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Rays are 33-23 (.589) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Astros are 55-35 (.611) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Astros are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 55-48 (.534) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 192 strikeouts in 594 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 851 strikeouts in 4,812 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,311/16,385 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,470/10,331 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,123 of 16,001 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.5
Astros vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
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