- The Blue Jays (78-61) are -160 favorites vs the Rays (78-60)
- Rays starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell (-), – ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (10-5), 5.22 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-160) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 75-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 58-78 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -105 | +135 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -115 | -160 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 away games (+10.75 Units / 80% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games at home (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+9.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+6.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+2.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 57 of their last 97 games (+18.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+4.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 64-68 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -2.05% ROI).
- 75-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.12% ROI
- 61-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -5.77% ROI
- 65-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -2.18% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 58-78 against the Run Line (-24.9 Units / -15.32% ROI).
- 76-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.35 Units / -8.81% ROI
- 68-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -2.52% ROI
- 65-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -6.97% ROI
Cooper Criswell: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .376 (35-for-93) against Jose Berrios on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — sixth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .416 (133 Total Bases / 320 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (36/184) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (239/1,115) against Jose Berrios this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 18th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 24-101 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Rays are 146-22 (.869) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rays are 33-21 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 181-55 (.767) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 166-44 (.790) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Blue Jays are 99-84 (.541) on the road since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Blue Jays are 156-16 (.907) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Blue Jays are 167-10 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have just 3 strikeouts in 45 PA’s (7%) against LHP this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .489 (45 PA’s) against LHP this month (5 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rays hitters have put 55% of their swings in play against LHP this month (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Rays are batting .410 against LHP this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .818 (3,931 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Blue Jays are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 766 of 11,075 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 155 of 2,698 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 934 of 13,287 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 62 of 1,236 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 23 of 476 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 2 of 88 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 832 of 11,109 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 17 of 360 batters (5%) this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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