Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (78-61) are -160 favorites vs the Rays (78-60)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell (-), ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (10-5), 5.22 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-160) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 75-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 58-78 ATS.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -145O 8.5 -105+135
Blue Jays -1.5 +120U 8.5 -115-160

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 away games (+10.75 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games at home (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+9.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Bo Bichette 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Danny Jansen 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
George Springer 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Bo Bichette 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
Cavan Biggio 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Danny Jansen 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Matt Chapman 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Bo Bichette 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Danny Jansen 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
George Springer 0.5 +160 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+6.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+2.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 57 of their last 97 games (+18.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+4.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 64-68 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -2.05% ROI).

  • 75-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.12% ROI
  • 61-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -5.77% ROI
  • 65-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -2.18% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 58-78 against the Run Line (-24.9 Units / -15.32% ROI).

  • 76-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.35 Units / -8.81% ROI
  • 68-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -2.52% ROI
  • 65-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -6.97% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .376 (35-for-93) against Jose Berrios on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — sixth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .416 (133 Total Bases / 320 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (36/184) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (239/1,115) against Jose Berrios this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 18th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 24-101 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Rays are 146-22 (.869) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rays are 33-21 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 181-55 (.767) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 166-44 (.790) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Blue Jays are 99-84 (.541) on the road since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Blue Jays are 156-16 (.907) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Blue Jays are 167-10 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Rays hitters have just 3 strikeouts in 45 PA’s (7%) against LHP this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays hitters have an OBP of .489 (45 PA’s) against LHP this month (5 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rays hitters have put 55% of their swings in play against LHP this month (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Rays are batting .410 against LHP this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .818 (3,931 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Blue Jays are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Rays pitchers have walked 766 of 11,075 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 155 of 2,698 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 934 of 13,287 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 62 of 1,236 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 23 of 476 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 2 of 88 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 832 of 11,109 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 17 of 360 batters (5%) this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.