- The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
- Rays vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Rays are 30-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 25-36 ATS.
Rays vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 3-4, 4.12 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett 2-0, 4.63 ERA
Rays vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -120 | -125 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 +100 | +105 |
Rays vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.15 Units / 73% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+9.00 Units / 180% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.90 Units / 222% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 58 games (+21.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+3.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+8.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 26-35 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -12.6% ROI).
- 30-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -12.79% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -2.91% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -6.32% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 25-36 against the Run Line (-21.11 Units / -25.73% ROI).
- 21-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -25.3% ROI
- 33-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 4.03% ROI
- 28-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -11.82% ROI
Marlins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Marlins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (TB) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Braxton Garrett (MIA) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 4 of 246 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 143 right-handed batters (1%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .450 (27-for-60) against Zach Eflin when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed a slugging percentage of .767 (46 Total Bases / 60 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (405/852) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.4 MPH (70 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 89.1 — 0 Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has not walked any of the 52 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 90% (28/31) of opposing batters over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rays are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Rays are just 16-34 (.320) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Rays are 39-26 (.600) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Marlins are just 116-30 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Marlins are just 35-64 (.354) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Marlins are just 38-34 (.528) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Marlins are just 37-69 (.349) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .350 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .267 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .203 (1,121 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .404 (1,121 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Marlins hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .590 (748 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
Bet now on Rays vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
