- The Rays (52-41) are -110 favorites vs the Royals (36-57)
- Rays starting pitcher: Luis Patiño (0-1), 6.75 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer (4-3), 4.01 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-110) on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rays vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 52-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 41-52 ATS.
Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +135 | O 10 -115 | -110 |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | U 10 -105 | -110 |
Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 71.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 away games (+14.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 away games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 68% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 45 games at home (+13.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Royals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-49 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -3.97% ROI).
- 52-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -0.81% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -4.06% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -3.73% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 41-52 against the Run Line (-21.1 Units / -17.09% ROI).
- 36-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -14.66% ROI
- 46-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.03% ROI
- 43-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -7.43% ROI
Luis Patiño: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Patino has limited playing time.
Brady Singer: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Brady Singer when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (3 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .213 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (201/882) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 61% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (1,077/1,778) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 67% — third Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .273 — second Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rays are 10-7 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 132-20 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Rays are 32-20 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Royals are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Royals are just 4-43 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Royals are just 36-48 (.429) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 316 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 127 double plays in 1,707 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters have 733 strikeouts in 3,042 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have drawn 198 walks in 1,636 PA’s (12%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 496 strikeouts in 2,621 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn 187 walks in 2,621 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 835 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays pitchers have walked 667 of 9,427 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 362 of 3,621 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 953 of 9,748 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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