Rays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (52-41) are -110 favorites vs the Royals (36-57)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Luis Patiño (0-1), 6.75 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer (4-3), 4.01 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-110) on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Rays vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 52-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 41-52 ATS.

Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +135O 10 -115-110
Royals +1.5 -165U 10 -105-110

Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 71.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 away games (+14.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 away games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 68% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 45 games at home (+13.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
MJ Melendez 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Nick Pratto 0.5 +375 0.5 -650

Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
MJ Melendez 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Nick Pratto 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Royals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
MJ Melendez 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Nick Pratto 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady Singer 5.5 +105 5.5 -155
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-49 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -3.97% ROI).

  • 52-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -0.81% ROI
  • 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -4.06% ROI
  • 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -3.73% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 41-52 against the Run Line (-21.1 Units / -17.09% ROI).

  • 36-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -14.66% ROI
  • 46-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.03% ROI
  • 43-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -7.43% ROI

Luis Patino has limited playing time.

Brady Singer: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Brady Singer when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (3 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .213 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (201/882) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 61% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (1,077/1,778) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 67% — third Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .273 — second Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Rays are 10-7 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 132-20 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

The Rays are 32-20 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Royals are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Royals are just 4-43 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Royals are just 36-48 (.429) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Rays hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 316 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 127 double plays in 1,707 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rays hitters have 733 strikeouts in 3,042 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have drawn 198 walks in 1,636 PA’s (12%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Royals hitters have just 496 strikeouts in 2,621 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have drawn 187 walks in 2,621 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 835 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Rays pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rays pitchers have walked 667 of 9,427 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have walked 362 of 3,621 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 953 of 9,748 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.