- Rays / Twins TV Channel: BSNO
The Tampa Bay Rays (+150) visit Hammond Stadium to take on the Minnesota Twins (-185) on Saturday, March 16, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Fort Myers, FL.
This season, the Rays are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-8 ATS.
Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Rays | +150 |
| Twins | -185 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 88 of their last 160 games (+13.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rays are 7-9 against the Run Line (-3.49 Units / -16.86% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.81 Units / -24.49% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.12 Units / 6.32% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -17.41% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 7-8 against the Run Line (-2.78 Units / -14.67% ROI).
- 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.78 Units / -34.41% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.68 Units / -22.47% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 13.76% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .220 (159 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 37% (73/195) against Pablo Lopez when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 54% (13/24) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 31% (281/909) against Pablo Lopez in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (505 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.1 — 95th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays were just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays were 37-3 (.925) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rays were 19-27 (.413) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were 31-10 (.756) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins were 11-59 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Twins were 16-49 (.246) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays batted .270 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters slugged .294 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .183 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Twins batted just .241 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers did not pick-off any runners from first base in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 99 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
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