- The Rays are -155 favorites vs the White Sox
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Tampa Bay Rays (-155) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+130) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rays vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 21-5 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 10-16 ATS.
Rays vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -105 | -155 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -115 | +130 |
Rays vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 66.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 away games (+10.25 Units / 146% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
White Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
White Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
White Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Zach Eflin | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 26 games (+14.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 54% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 18-8 against the Run Line (+11.05 Units / 37.08% ROI).
- 21-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.3 Units / 29.3% ROI
- 14-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 13.84% ROI
- 9-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -23.39% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 10-16 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -25.48% ROI).
- 7-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.05 Units / -44.92% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 7.52% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -15.01% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has located his fastballs down 62% of the time (51/82) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 42% (43/103) against Zach Eflin this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has a strike rate of 73% (162/223) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 1 of 63 batters (2%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (64/120) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — sixth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (8/33) against Lucas Giolito this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (25/86) against Lucas Giolito on low breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 34% of Lucas Giolito’s breaking pitches (47/139) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Rays are 5-2 (.714) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
The Rays are 5-4 (.556) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The White Sox are just 4-4 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The White Sox are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The White Sox are just 7-15 (.318) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The White Sox are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .970 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Rays hitters are slugging .516 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .868 (1,000 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Rays hitters are slugging .547 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 318 walks in 5,521 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (971 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox has 374 quality ABs out of 971 total (39% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (313 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers have walked 463 of 6,868 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .310 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.82 (91.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
The White Sox have allowed 1.96 runs per game (51/26) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
White Sox pitchers have walked 25 of 228 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Quad, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Lat, D15
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