Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 11

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Yankees (84-56) are -125 favorites vs the Rays (78-59)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Luis Patiño (1-1), 4.33 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán (2-3), 3.27 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-125) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 75-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-76 ATS.

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -190O 8.5 -105+105
Yankees -1.5 +155U 8.5 -115-125

Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+10.90 Units / 114% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+9.75 Units / 84% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)

Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Josh Donaldson 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Josh Donaldson 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Josh Donaldson 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 33 away games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 46 away games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 64-67 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -0.94% ROI).

  • 75-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -0.6% ROI
  • 60-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -6.51% ROI
  • 65-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -1.47% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 59-76 against the Run Line (-20.05 Units / -12.75% ROI).

  • 83-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -1.48% ROI
  • 63-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -8.6% ROI
  • 69-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -0.3% ROI

Luis Patino has limited playing time.

Domingo Germán: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Domingo German since the start of last season is 382.7 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

Domingo German has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (573/1,718) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (496/1,294) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (3/21) against Domingo German against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 47-8 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Rays are 35-9 (.795) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Rays are 13-10 (.565) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 47-24 (.662) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Yankees are 48-22 (.686) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Yankees are 47-12 (.797) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Rays hitters have just 3 strikeouts in 34 PA’s (9%) against LHP this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Rays are batting .464 against LHP this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Rays hitters have an OBP of .559 (34 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rays hitters have grounded into 154 double plays in 2,025 opportunities (8%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Yankees are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Yankees hitters have drawn 332 walks in 3,305 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters have drawn 819 walks in 8,093 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 760 of 11,038 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 154 of 2,690 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 61 of 1,228 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 928 of 13,250 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 366 of 5,136 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, D10
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
  • Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, D10
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.