Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (48-44) are -155 favorites vs the Reds (34-55)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene (3-10), 5.69 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (2-4), 3.18 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Cincinnati Reds (+130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 34-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 49-43 ATS.

Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -155O 8.5 +100+130
Cardinals -1.5 +125U 8.5 -120-155

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Aramis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 away games (+7.55 Units / 151% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Hunter Greene has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.50 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Edmundo Sosa has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.50 Units / 54% ROI)

Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Romine 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Juan Yepez 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Romine 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Juan Yepez 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Romine 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Juan Yepez 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +105 0.5 -150

Cardinals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andre Pallante 3.5 +115 3.5 -160
Hunter Greene 6.5 +105 6.5 -155
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+4.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 69 games (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 42-47 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -9.62% ROI).

  • 34-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -11.96% ROI
  • 48-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 3.88% ROI
  • 40-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -13.48% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 49-43 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.64% ROI).

  • 48-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.83% ROI
  • 42-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -9.05% ROI
  • 46-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI

Opponents are hitting .548 (17-for-31) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 0 Percentile.

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .862 (50 Total Bases / 58 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .427 — 0 Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown 252 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .871 (27 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .438 — 0 Percentile.

Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (134/212) against Andre Pallante this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 66% (61/92) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (15/115) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (86/134) against Andre Pallante in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Reds are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Reds are just 3-44 (.064) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Reds are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are just 1-38 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Cardinals are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cardinals are 20-5 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Cardinals are 37-2 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .282 (401 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .695 (2,520 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Reds hitters have 110 strikeouts in 362 PA’s (30%) against RHP this month (14 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,582 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Cardinals hitters have 194 extra-base hits out of 453 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have 221 extra-base hits out of 525 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Cardinals are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 46 double plays in 693 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have walked 955 of 9,646 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.29 (415.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 80 of 816 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 91 double plays in 677 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): COVID, D10
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Ross Detwiler (Reds): Back, D15
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.