- The Cardinals (48-44) are -155 favorites vs the Reds (34-55)
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene (3-10), 5.69 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (2-4), 3.18 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Cincinnati Reds (+130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 34-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 49-43 ATS.
Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 +100 | +130 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -120 | -155 |
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Aramis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 away games (+7.55 Units / 151% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- Hunter Greene has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.50 Units / 92% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.50 Units / 54% ROI)
Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Romine | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Romine | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Romine | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
Cardinals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
| Hunter Greene | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+4.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 69 games (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 42-47 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -9.62% ROI).
- 34-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -11.96% ROI
- 48-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 3.88% ROI
- 40-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -13.48% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 49-43 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.64% ROI).
- 48-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.83% ROI
- 42-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -9.05% ROI
- 46-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
Christian Greene: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .548 (17-for-31) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 0 Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .862 (50 Total Bases / 58 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .427 — 0 Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 252 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .871 (27 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .438 — 0 Percentile.
Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (134/212) against Andre Pallante this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 66% (61/92) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (15/115) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (86/134) against Andre Pallante in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Reds are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Reds are just 3-44 (.064) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Reds are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 1-38 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Cardinals are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Cardinals are 20-5 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Cardinals are 37-2 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .282 (401 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .695 (2,520 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Reds hitters have 110 strikeouts in 362 PA’s (30%) against RHP this month (14 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,582 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 194 extra-base hits out of 453 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have 221 extra-base hits out of 525 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Cardinals are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 46 double plays in 693 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 955 of 9,646 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.29 (415.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 80 of 816 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 91 double plays in 677 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
- Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): COVID, D10
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Ross Detwiler (Reds): Back, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
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