Reds vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 19, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Reds (46-70) are -115 favorites vs the Pirates (46-72)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (5-3), 3.96 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson (2-7), 5.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet PT

The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Reds vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 46-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 59-57 ATS.

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds-1.5 +145O 8 -115-115
Pirates +1.5 -175U 8 -105-105

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 games at home (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 44 games at home (+14.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 28% ROI)

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Gamel 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Bligh Madris 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Greg Allen 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Jason Delay 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bligh Madris 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Bryan Reynolds 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Greg Allen 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Jason Delay 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Kevin Newman 1.5 +165 1.5 -250

Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Gamel 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Bligh Madris 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Greg Allen 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Jason Delay 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryse Wilson 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
Graham Ashcraft 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 88 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games (+8.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 90 games (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+7.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-61 against the Run Line (-11.8 Units / -8.23% ROI).

  • 46-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -9.31% ROI
  • 58-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -3.31% ROI
  • 56-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -6.27% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 59-57 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -4.07% ROI).

  • 45-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -4.4% ROI
  • 51-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -8.85% ROI
  • 57-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.54% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (21/154) against Graham Ashcraft this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has a strikeout rate of just 8% (7 SO in 83 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (120/706) against Graham Ashcraft this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Division opponents are hitting .323 (41-for-127) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .244 — second Percentile.

Bryse Wilson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting .352 (45-for-128) against Bryse Wilson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (80 Total Bases / 128 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has not struck out a hitter in his last 38 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 26th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (15/131) against Bryse Wilson when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are just 34-7 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Reds are just 7-25 (.219) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Reds are just 9-32 (.220) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Reds are just 44-54 (.449) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates are just 86-23 (.789) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Pirates are just 32-8 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Pirates are just 20-41 (.328) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Pirates are just 51-121 (.297) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .281 (537 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Reds hitters are slugging just .331 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Reds are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Reds hitters are slugging just .370 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .657 (3,203 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .364 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .221 (5,410 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Reds pitchers have walked 435 of 4,485 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .303 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .283 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 64 double plays in 904 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 221 of 2,429 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 280 of 2,945 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,019 of 10,654 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Pirates vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pirates): Back, D10
  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Mitch Keller (Pirates): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Undisclosed, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.