- The Yankees (61-26) are -350 favorites vs the Reds (33-54)
- Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (1-6), 6.63 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino (5-3), 3.10 ERA
- Watch the game on YES
The Cincinnati Reds (+260) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-350) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Reds vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 33-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 43-44 ATS.
Reds vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +2.5 -115 | O 8.5 +100 | +260 |
| Yankees | -2.5 -105 | U 8.5 -120 | -350 |
Reds vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Yankees vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Yankees vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -300 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Yankees vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
Yankees vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -155 |
| Mike Minor | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 40-47 against the Run Line (-13.15 Units / -12.14% ROI).
- 33-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.95 Units / -12.86% ROI
- 46-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.88% ROI
- 40-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -11.5% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 43-44 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -1.14% ROI).
- 61-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.65 Units / 10.28% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -11.02% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 2.61% ROI
Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
22 of Mike Minor’s 72 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Mike Minor has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to June 3rd — Jose Urquidy has the longest active streak at 10.
24 of Mike Minor’s 90 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Mike Minor has walked 7 of 167 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.
Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has struck out 34% (67/194) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Luis Severino this season is 376.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 32% (126/390) against Luis Severino this season — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.
Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of 48% (94 SO in 195 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 88th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Reds are just 24-5 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Reds are just 22-5 (.815) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Reds are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Yankees are 6-16 (.273) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Yankees are 36-5 (.878) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Yankees are 27-16 (.628) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Yankees are 34-10 (.773) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 156 strikeouts in 517 PA’s (30%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .286 (392 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Reds hitters are slugging just .335 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Reds hitters have 104 strikeouts in 327 PA’s (32%) against RHP this month (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 681 walks in 6,520 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .568 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .331 (2,360 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.264 (628 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.061.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 46 double plays in 683 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Reds have allowed 1.84 runs per game (160/87) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Reds pitchers have walked 943 of 9,561 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 64% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Yankees have won 65% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 54% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.7 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7
Yankees vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.