- The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (6-9), 5.29 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (6-10), 3.83 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Colorado Rockies (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 47-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 60-44 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -185 | O 8 +100 | +110 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -120 | -135 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 38 of his last 65 games (+28.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 48 of his last 68 games (+16.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 46 of his last 65 games (+16.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 57 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Bumgarner | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
| German Marquez | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 97 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 57 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 54 games (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 93 games (+15.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 26 games (+14.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 54 games at home (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.60 Units / 66% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 58-50 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.42% ROI).
- 47-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -2.4% ROI
- 51-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -4.85% ROI
- 51-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.61% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 60-44 against the Run Line (+12.9 Units / 9.55% ROI).
- 46-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -5.29% ROI
- 46-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 53-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.48% ROI
Germán Márquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .436 (34-for-78) against German Marquez on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — second Percentile.
German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .692 (54 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — sixth Percentile.
German Marquez has a strikeout rate of just 8% (6 SO in 76 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
German Marquez has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (651/1,250) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
27 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
27 of Madison Bumgarner’s 55 breaking pitch strikeouts (49%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
58 of Madison Bumgarner’s 138 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (50/349) against Madison Bumgarner this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 17-34 (.333) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Rockies are just 12-29 (.293) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 10-26 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 92-26 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 101-17 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-31 (.225) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of .805 (2,179 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .182 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .205 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.6
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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