Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 05, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (6-9), 5.29 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (6-10), 3.83 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 47-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 60-44 ATS.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -185O 8 +100+110
Diamondbacks -1.5 +150U 8 -120-135

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s matchup with 64.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 72% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 38 of his last 65 games (+28.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 48 of his last 68 games (+16.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 46 of his last 65 games (+16.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 57 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Christian Walker 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Jake McCarthy 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Christian Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Jake McCarthy 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Christian Walker 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Jake McCarthy 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Madison Bumgarner 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
German Marquez 5.5 +100 5.5 -140
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 97 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 57 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 54 games (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 93 games (+15.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 26 games (+14.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 54 games at home (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.60 Units / 66% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 58-50 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.42% ROI).

  • 47-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -2.4% ROI
  • 51-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -4.85% ROI
  • 51-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.61% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 60-44 against the Run Line (+12.9 Units / 9.55% ROI).

  • 46-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -5.29% ROI
  • 46-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -10.48% ROI
  • 53-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.48% ROI

Opponents are hitting .436 (34-for-78) against German Marquez on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — second Percentile.

German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .692 (54 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — sixth Percentile.

German Marquez has a strikeout rate of just 8% (6 SO in 76 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

German Marquez has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (651/1,250) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

27 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

27 of Madison Bumgarner’s 55 breaking pitch strikeouts (49%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

58 of Madison Bumgarner’s 138 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (50/349) against Madison Bumgarner this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 17-34 (.333) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Rockies are just 12-29 (.293) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 10-26 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 92-26 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 101-17 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-31 (.225) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of .805 (2,179 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .182 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .205 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.6

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.