- The Diamondbacks (37-47) are -130 favorites vs the Rockies (37-47)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (4-6), 4.43 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (4-8), 3.73 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Colorado Rockies (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 37-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 46-38 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -115 | +105 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -105 | -130 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 75.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.05 Units / 33% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 31 games (+15.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.70 Units / 94% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Buddy Kennedy | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Cooper Hummel | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Buddy Kennedy | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cooper Hummel | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Buddy Kennedy | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cooper Hummel | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
| Madison Bumgarner | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 73 games (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 33 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 20 games (+0.50 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 43-41 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -4.02% ROI).
- 37-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -2.53% ROI
- 40-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.37% ROI
- 38-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -6.78% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 46-38 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 3.19% ROI).
- 37-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 38-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -9.57% ROI
- 43-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.7% ROI
Kyle Freeland: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (96/188) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (131/250) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 40% (231/579) against Kyle Freeland on changeups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 52% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 5% (5 SO in 95 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 10th Percentile.
Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
20 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
20 of Madison Bumgarner’s 45 breaking pitch strikeouts (44%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
51 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .246 (43-for-175) against Madison Bumgarner with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Rockies are just 7-17 (.292) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Rockies are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .109.
The Rockies are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .917.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 92-16 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 84-23 (.785) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 11-37 (.229) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-28 (.243) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies are batting .280 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.8.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .311 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .191 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .176 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.7
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.1 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.8
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- José Iglesias (Rockies): Head, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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