Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (37-47) are -130 favorites vs the Rockies (37-47)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (4-6), 4.43 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (4-8), 3.73 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Colorado Rockies (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 37-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 46-38 ATS.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -175O 9 -115+105
Diamondbacks -1.5 +145U 9 -105-130

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 75.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.05 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 31 games (+15.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.70 Units / 94% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Carson Kelly 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Christian Walker 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Carson Kelly 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Cooper Hummel 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Carson Kelly 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Freeland 3.5 -165 3.5 +120
Madison Bumgarner 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 73 games (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 33 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 20 games (+0.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 43-41 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -4.02% ROI).

  • 37-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -2.53% ROI
  • 40-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.37% ROI
  • 38-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -6.78% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 46-38 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 3.19% ROI).

  • 37-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -5.68% ROI
  • 38-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -9.57% ROI
  • 43-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.7% ROI

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (96/188) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (131/250) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 40% (231/579) against Kyle Freeland on changeups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 52% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 5% (5 SO in 95 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 10th Percentile.

Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

20 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

20 of Madison Bumgarner’s 45 breaking pitch strikeouts (44%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

51 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .246 (43-for-175) against Madison Bumgarner with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — first Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Rockies are just 7-17 (.292) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Rockies are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Rockies are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .917.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 92-16 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 84-23 (.785) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 11-37 (.229) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-28 (.243) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Rockies are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.8.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .311 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .191 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .176 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.7

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.1 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.8

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Ian Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • José Iglesias (Rockies): Head, Day-to-Day
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.