Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers (110-50) are -375 favorites vs the Rockies (67-93)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner (3-9), 6.01 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (17-7), 2.11 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The Colorado Rockies (+290) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-375) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Rockies vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 67-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 96-64 ATS.

Rockies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -110O 8 -115+290
Dodgers -2.5 -110U 8 -105-375

Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 61.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+13.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+12.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in his last 16 games (+16.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Tony Gonsolin has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 38% ROI)

Dodgers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Gavin Lux 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Joey Gallo 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Justin Turner 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600

Dodgers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Gavin Lux 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Joey Gallo 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Justin Turner 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Dodgers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Gavin Lux 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Joey Gallo 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Justin Turner 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Urias 5.5 +120 5.5 -175
Ryan Feltner 3.5 -165 3.5 +120
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 49% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 84-76 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.03% ROI).

  • 67-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -2.15% ROI
  • 75-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -6.58% ROI
  • 78-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -2.79% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 96-64 against the Run Line (+26.9 Units / 13.89% ROI).

  • 110-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 2.65% ROI
  • 67-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.25 Units / -13.23% ROI
  • 82-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 4.51% ROI

Ryan Feltner has a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (17/47) — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .381 (24-for-63) against Ryan Feltner on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .300 (6-for-20) against Ryan Feltner with two-strikes — tied for 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .148 — fourth Percentile.

Ryan Feltner had a first-pitch strike rate of just 39% (10/26) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (912/1,250) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (768 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 90.7

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (147/455) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (699/1,250) against Julio Urias since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Rockies are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 26-53 (.329) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Rockies are just 10-15 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 15-33 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Dodgers are 55-23 (.705) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Dodgers are 43-3 (.935) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Dodgers are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,883 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Rockies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies have won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,736 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .445 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,864 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.0 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (740.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 498.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 463.4

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.

The Dodgers have allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 42% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Knee, D15
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Knee, D10
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Connor Joe (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
  • Carlos Estévez (Rockies): COVID-19, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.