- The Guardians are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner
- Guardians starting pitcher: Peyton Battenfield
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-210) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Rockies vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 7-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-15 ATS.
Rockies vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -115 | O 8 -110 | +170 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -105 | U 8 -110 | -210 |
Rockies vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
Guardians vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Guardians vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Guardians vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.60 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.35 Units / 100% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.90 Units / 98% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.65 Units / 71% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 8-16 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -32% ROI).
- 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -30.1% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -13.08% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 5.44% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 8-15 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -24.03% ROI).
- 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -17.52% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -13.16% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 4.18% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Feltner has walked 9 of 45 left-handed batters (20%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 10% — third Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has walked 18 of 146 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has 10 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (31/200) against Ryan Feltner with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Peyton Battenfield has thrown his cutter 52% of the time (80/153) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Peyton Battenfield has located his fastball away 63% of the time (31/49) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.
Peyton Battenfield has located his pitches away 59% of the time (90/153) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Peyton Battenfield’s pitches (83/153) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rockies are just 15-51 (.227) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Rockies are 7-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Rockies are just 31-64 (.326) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Rockies are just 8-20 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Guardians are 20-64 (.238) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 4-7 (.364) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .121.
The Guardians are 21-42 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Guardians are 28-25 (.528) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .345 (3,490 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 901 strikeouts in 5,160 PA’s (17%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,892 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Rockies have allowed 7.60 runs per game (76/10) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.68.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (830.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 100 of 1,670 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 500 of 6,875 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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