Rockies vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 25, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Guardians are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Peyton Battenfield
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-210) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Rockies vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 7-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-15 ATS.

Rockies vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -115O 8 -110+170
Guardians -1.5 -105U 8 -110-210

Rockies vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Rockies vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)

Guardians vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Will Brennan 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Elias Diaz 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Amed Rosario 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Guardians vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Will Brennan 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Elias Diaz 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Amed Rosario 0.5 -250 0.5 +195

Guardians vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Will Brennan 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Elias Diaz 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Amed Rosario 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Guardians vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Feltner 3.5 -135 3.5 +105
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.60 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.35 Units / 100% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.90 Units / 98% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 8-16 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -32% ROI).

  • 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -30.1% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -13.08% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 5.44% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 8-15 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -24.03% ROI).

  • 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -17.52% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -13.16% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 4.18% ROI

Ryan Feltner has walked 9 of 45 left-handed batters (20%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 10% — third Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has walked 18 of 146 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has 10 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (31/200) against Ryan Feltner with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Peyton Battenfield has thrown his cutter 52% of the time (80/153) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Peyton Battenfield has located his fastball away 63% of the time (31/49) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.

Peyton Battenfield has located his pitches away 59% of the time (90/153) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 54% of Peyton Battenfield’s pitches (83/153) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rockies are just 15-51 (.227) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.

The Rockies are 7-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Rockies are just 31-64 (.326) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Rockies are just 8-20 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Guardians are 20-64 (.238) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Guardians are 4-7 (.364) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .121.

The Guardians are 21-42 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Guardians are 28-25 (.528) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .345 (3,490 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Guardians hitters have just 901 strikeouts in 5,160 PA’s (17%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,892 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Rockies have allowed 7.60 runs per game (76/10) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.68.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (830.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 100 of 1,670 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 500 of 6,875 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
  • Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
  • Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.