- The Padres are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | MLBN | PDTV
The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-275) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 14-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 23-22 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 0-2, 3.48 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 3-3, 3.70 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -120 | +220 |
| Padres | -1.5 -125 | U 7.5 +100 | -275 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 69.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+17.50 Units / 438% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 29 games (+24.40 Units / 84% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+15.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+13.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 47% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+9.45 Units / 158% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 away games (+6.90 Units / 107% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+6.70 Units / 112% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 88% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 22-20 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -3.11% ROI).
- 14-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -13.26% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -6.55% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -1.99% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 23-22 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 4.82% ROI).
- 22-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -9.97% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.41% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -8.82% ROI
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kyle Higashioka (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Higashioka (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
| Michael King (SD) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -155 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (16 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (10-for-20) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (8/51) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 33% (30 SO in 91 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.148 (31 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.
Michael King has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 3rd best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Michael King has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.148 (31 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .381 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .255 (40-for-157) against Michael King’s elevated fastball since the 2022 season — 13th highest among among 112 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .205 — 11th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 51-23 (.689) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 56-15 (.789) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rockies are just 95-29 (.766) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are just 6-18 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Padres are just 8-77 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Padres are just 4-148 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Padres are just 4-81 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 414.3 feet this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 396.0.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .285 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Padres hitters have drawn 1,004 walks in 10,075 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Padres are batting just .202 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Padres hitters have drawn 596 walks in 5,767 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (4,942 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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