- The Twins are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | ROTV | MLBN
The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-250) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rockies are 24-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 30-37 ATS.
Rockies vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 1-3, 3.41 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 5-6, 5.48 ERA
Rockies vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -105 | +200 |
| Twins | -1.5 -130 | U 8 -115 | -250 |
Rockies vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 69.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 away games (+24.00 Units / 141% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+9.60 Units / 160% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.79 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+3.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 21 games at home (+0.65 Units / 3% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 34-33 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -6.58% ROI).
- 24-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -4.53% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -2.96% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -5.85% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 30-37 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -12.36% ROI).
- 35-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -5.59% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 2.62% ROI
Twins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Twins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +125 |
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .194 (7-for-36) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .325 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (35/193) against Austin Gomber this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Austin Gomber has walked 20 of 217 right-handed batters (9%) this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 11th Percentile.
Austin Gomber allowed a batting average of .309 versus the top of the order (eighth worst)– 10th Percentile and just .130 versus the bottom of the order this season (second best among qualified SPs)– 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (206/571) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed an OPS of .911 (116 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .639 — fifth Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 2 of 117 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 6 of 159 left-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rockies are just 20-19 (.513) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 59-27 (.686) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 12-43 (.218) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Rockies are just 103-33 (.757) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Twins are just 6-12 (.333) after a road loss this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Twins are 100-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Twins are 168-4 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins are just 19-31 (.380) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 410.6 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .154 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters are slugging just .286 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .557.
Twins hitters have 102 extra-base hits out of 239 total hits (43%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters have 555 extra-base hits out of 1,381 total hits (40%) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 174 of 2,474 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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