- The Twins (39-33) are -190 favorites vs the Rockies (31-40)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (3-3), 4.41 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (1-3), 3.43 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-190) on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rockies vs Twins Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 31-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 31-41 ATS.
Rockies vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 9.5 -115 | +155 |
| Twins | -1.5 +100 | U 9.5 -105 | -190 |
Rockies vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+14.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+7.70 Units / 154% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Twins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Luis Arraez | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Twins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Carlos Correa | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -175 |
| Max Kepler | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Twins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Arraez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Archer | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -125 |
| Antonio Senzatela | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -185 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 60 games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+3.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+11.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 70 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 60 games (+6.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 37-34 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -3.84% ROI).
- 31-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -4.04% ROI
- 35-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.92% ROI
- 33-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -7.47% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 31-41 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -13.54% ROI).
- 39-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 2.22% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -4.76% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -3.24% ROI
Antonio Senzatela: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .363 (81-for-223) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .348 (32-for-92) against Antonio Senzatela’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .223 — 0 Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has located his pitches away 66% of the time (158/240) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .379 (25-for-66) against Antonio Senzatela versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 0 Percentile.
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (84/162) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (49/242) against Chris Archer this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 53% of the time (124/235) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 45% (33/74) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rockies are 3-29 (.094) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Rockies are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Rockies are 24-1 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Twins are 27-4 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Twins are 34-11 (.756) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Twins are just 35-5 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Twins are just 12-22 (.353) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Rockies are batting .292 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9.
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have drawn 68 walks in 635 PA’s (11%) when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .487 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .563.
Twins hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 65 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Twins have scored 1.15 runs per game (267/233) in late innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.5
Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 67 double plays in 524 opportunities (13%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Back, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Trevor Megill (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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