- The Angels are -185 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Watch the game on BSW
The Kansas City Royals (+150) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-185) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Royals vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 4-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 9-11 ATS.
Royals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -110 | +150 |
| Angels | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -110 | -185 |
Royals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 86% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 89% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jake Lamb has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Angels vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Angels vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Angels vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Angels vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 5-15 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -52.3% ROI).
- 4-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -52.11% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 9.21% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -18.85% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 9-11 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -11.95% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -11.07% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -14.51% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.53% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (59/167) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (24/72) against Zack Greinke this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (8/71) against Zack Greinke this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Zack Greinke has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (44/63) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (200/775) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.031 (33 Total Bases / 32 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .581 — first Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has a strike rate of 71% (579/815) in two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% (122/575) against Tyler Anderson since last season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 91st Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 2-7 (.222) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Royals are just 5-48 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Royals are just 4-92 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .120.
The Royals are just 29-59 (.330) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels are just 3-14 (.176) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 8-46 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .569 (547 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .261 (547 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Royals are batting just .203 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Royals hitters are slugging just .309 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters are slugging just .157 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Angels hitters have 7 extra-base hits out of 48 total hits (just 15%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Angels are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .396 (423 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 12 of 178 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 656 of 7,026 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 22 of 176 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 144 of 1,616 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 617 of 6,789 batters (9%) since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,209 of 12,985 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Dennis Tepera (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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