- The Blue Jays (47-43) are -350 favorites vs the Royals (36-53)
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke (3-5), 4.52 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (9-4), 2.34 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Kansas City Royals (+260) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-350) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Royals vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 36-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 37-53 ATS.
Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +2.5 -115 | O 8 +100 | +260 |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 -105 | U 8 -120 | -350 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 38 away games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 30 away games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Yusei Kikuchi has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 76% ROI)
- Yusei Kikuchi has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 45% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 48 games (+20.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.90 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 40-49 against the Run Line (-19.05 Units / -16% ROI).
- 36-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -11.1% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -3.03% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -5.58% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 37-53 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -18.36% ROI).
- 47-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.35 Units / -13.36% ROI
- 47-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.56% ROI
- 42-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.75 Units / -10.73% ROI
Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Greinke has struck out just 9% (11/128) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (32/90) against Zack Greinke on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Zack Greinke has a strike rate of just 54% (256/474) when ahead in the count this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Zack Greinke has a strikeout rate of just 12% (39 SO in 312 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .208 (207 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .157 (30-for-191) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .475 (207 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .486 (432 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .718 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 15-41 (.268) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Royals are just 17-26 (.395) on the road this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Blue Jays are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Blue Jays are just 16-30 (.348) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals hitters have just 162 strikeouts in 909 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 490 strikeouts in 2,602 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .352 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .673 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .231 (143 PA’s) against LHP this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .814 (4,726 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 349 of 3,464 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have allowed 1.73 runs per game (154/89) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 715 of 9,270 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 26% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 242 of 3,354 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, Day-to-Day
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