- The Rangers are -165 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Kansas City Royals (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-165) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Royals vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 3-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 6-5 ATS.
Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -120 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +120 | U 9 +100 | -165 |
Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 113% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Hunter Dozier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.45 Units / 93% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games at home (+7.25 Units / 181% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 98% ROI)
Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Brad Keller | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.75 Units / 109% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 3-9 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -51.51% ROI).
- 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -39.58% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -4.89% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -4.2% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 2.11% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 13.79% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 20.48% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -29.24% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 45% (17/38) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has struck out just 8% (2/24) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Brad Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (22/44) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (11/38) against Brad Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 6% (1/17) against Nathan Eovaldi when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (26/174) versus Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (19/134) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has struck out 30% (7/23) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 84th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 4-44 (.083) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Royals were just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 12-157 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Royals were just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 36-49 (.424) when favorites since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Rangers are just 32-48 (.400) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Rangers are just 109-72 (.602) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Rangers are just 32-31 (.508) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .258 (423 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Royals hitters are slugging just .265 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .575 (423 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .217 (106 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have pulled just 33% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,807 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rangers hitters have drawn 274 walks in 3,807 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have walked 626 of 6,711 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 11 double plays in 54 opportunities (20%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 148 of 1,538 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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