Royals vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Rangers are -165 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Kansas City Royals (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-165) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Royals vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Royals are 3-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 6-5 ATS.

Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -145O 9 -120+135
Rangers -1.5 +120U 9 +100-165

Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Royals vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 113% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.45 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games at home (+7.25 Units / 181% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 98% ROI)

Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Lowe 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Jonah Heim 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Brad Miller 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Joshua Jung 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Lowe 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jonah Heim 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Brad Miller 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Joshua Jung 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Lowe 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Jonah Heim 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Brad Miller 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Joshua Jung 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nathan Eovaldi 5.5 -160 5.5 +120
Brad Keller 4.5 +110 4.5 -145
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.75 Units / 109% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.25 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 3-9 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -51.51% ROI).

  • 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -39.58% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -4.89% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -4.2% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 2.11% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 13.79% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 20.48% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -29.24% ROI

Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 45% (17/38) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has struck out just 8% (2/24) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Brad Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (22/44) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (11/38) against Brad Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 6% (1/17) against Nathan Eovaldi when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (26/174) versus Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (19/134) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has struck out 30% (7/23) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 84th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Royals are just 4-44 (.083) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.

The Royals were just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Royals are just 12-157 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Royals were just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rangers are just 36-49 (.424) when favorites since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.

The Rangers are just 32-48 (.400) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Rangers are just 109-72 (.602) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Rangers are just 32-31 (.508) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .258 (423 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Royals hitters are slugging just .265 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .575 (423 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .217 (106 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.

Rangers hitters have pulled just 33% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,807 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Rangers hitters have drawn 274 walks in 3,807 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have walked 626 of 6,711 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 11 double plays in 54 opportunities (20%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 148 of 1,538 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
  • Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
  • Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.