- The Astros are -225 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-225) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Tigers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 0-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 2-2 ATS.
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -110 | O 8 -105 | +180 |
| Astros | -1.5 -110 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 73.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- David Hensley has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
- J.J. Matijevic has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.45 Units / 173% ROI)
Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nick Maton | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nick Maton | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nick Maton | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 165 games (+17.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 away games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+33.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 162 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 102 of their last 179 games (+28.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 119 of their last 179 games (+22.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 95 of their last 179 games (+15.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 0-3 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -37.5% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 23.53% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 18.75% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -14.53% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 47.62% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -52.17% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 25.0.
Matthew Boyd did not walk any of the 23 batters that he faced vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has not allowed a hit to any of the last 30 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Nick Martinez has the longest active streak at 49.
Matthew Boyd allowed a slugging percentage of just .136 (3 Total Bases / 22 ABs) vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — 13th best among among 104 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 88th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has pitched 16.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 23.1.
Hunter Brown has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Martin Perez has the longest active streak at 59.1.
Hunter Brown allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — tied for 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .318 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 19% (11/59) against Hunter Brown on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers were just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers were just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers were 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Tigers were just 16-36 (.308) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros were 31-15 (.674) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Astros were 41-52 (.441) when scoring 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Astros are 49-29 (.628) vs the 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Astros are 39-33 (.542) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .612 (1,849 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,613 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 703 strikeouts in 3,940 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .266 (6,417 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Tigers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Nevin (Tigers): Oblique, D10
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