- The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Tigers vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 2-4 ATS.
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -105 | +200 |
| Astros | -1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -115 | -250 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- David Hensley has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
- J.J. Matijevic has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.45 Units / 173% ROI)
Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 167 games (+15.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 98 games (+8.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 86 away games (+0.70 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 86 away games (+0.30 Units / 0% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 102 of their last 181 games (+29.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 102 of their last 181 games (+26.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 108 of their last 181 games (+21.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 119 of their last 181 games (+17.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 95 of their last 181 games (+12.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -26.32% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 28% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -22.94% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -28.03% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -54.75% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 61.07% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -66.92% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (2/15) against Eduardo Rodriguez this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (18/133) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (24/37) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a strike rate of 87% (33/38) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 57% (16/28) against Cristian Javier this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has struck out 40% (109/274) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 60% (26/43) against Cristian Javier this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers were just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers are just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers were just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers were just 16-36 (.308) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros were 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Astros are 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Astros are 40-33 (.548) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Astros were 41-52 (.441) when scoring 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (4,437 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,668 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .290 (2,893 PA’s) at home in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 707 strikeouts in 3,963 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 327 strikeouts in 1,882 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 2,452 strikeouts in 12,583 PA’s (20%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have 6 extra-base hits out of 44 total hits (just 14%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games in 2022 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.05 (711.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 2.89 (1445.1 IP) in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Astros vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Nevin (Tigers): Oblique, D10
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