- The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Tigers vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 2-4 ATS.
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Tigers | +1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -105 | +200 |
Astros | -1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -115 | -250 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- David Hensley has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
- J.J. Matijevic has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.45 Units / 173% ROI)
Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eric Haase | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Jose Abreu | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Austin Meadows | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eric Haase | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
Austin Meadows | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eric Haase | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Jose Abreu | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Austin Meadows | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cristian Javier | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
Eduardo Rodriguez | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 167 games (+15.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 98 games (+8.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 86 away games (+0.70 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 86 away games (+0.30 Units / 0% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 102 of their last 181 games (+29.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 102 of their last 181 games (+26.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 108 of their last 181 games (+21.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 119 of their last 181 games (+17.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 95 of their last 181 games (+12.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -26.32% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 28% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -22.94% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -28.03% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -54.75% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 61.07% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -66.92% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (2/15) against Eduardo Rodriguez this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (18/133) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (24/37) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a strike rate of 87% (33/38) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 57% (16/28) against Cristian Javier this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has struck out 40% (109/274) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 60% (26/43) against Cristian Javier this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers were just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers are just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers were just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers were just 16-36 (.308) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros were 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Astros are 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Astros are 40-33 (.548) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Astros were 41-52 (.441) when scoring 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (4,437 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,668 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .290 (2,893 PA’s) at home in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 707 strikeouts in 3,963 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 327 strikeouts in 1,882 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 2,452 strikeouts in 12,583 PA’s (20%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have 6 extra-base hits out of 44 total hits (just 14%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games in 2022 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.05 (711.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 2.89 (1445.1 IP) in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Astros vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Nevin (Tigers): Oblique, D10
Bet now on Tigers vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
