- The – (67-33) are favorites vs the – (67-33)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Garrett Hill (1-2), 5.57 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (7-4), 5.19 ERA
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Detroit Tigers () visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays () on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Toronto.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 41-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 45-56 ATS.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | O | ||
| Blue Jays | U |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 away games (+8.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
| Garrett Hill | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 99 games (+17.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+9.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 70 games (+5.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 27 away games (+4.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+4.25 Units / 56% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 59 games (+23.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+2.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-55 against the Run Line (-15.8 Units / -12.25% ROI).
- 41-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -7.5% ROI
- 38-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.95 Units / -22.26% ROI
- 58-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.8 Units / 14.89% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 45-56 against the Run Line (-16.3 Units / -13.15% ROI).
- 56-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -9.52% ROI
- 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.91% ROI
- 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -9.12% ROI
Garrett Hill: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Hill has walked 6 of 45 batters (13%) — tied for 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Garrett Hill has allowed a slugging percentage of just .105 (2 Total Bases / 19 ABs) vs left-handed batters — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .377 — 95th Percentile.
Garrett Hill has a strikeout rate of just 27% (6 SO in 22 PAs) with two-strikes — 9th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Garrett Hill has walked 4 of 23 left-handed batters (17%) — tied for 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .718 (56 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (93/333) against Jose Berrios this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (33/86) against Jose Berrios on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .376 (38-for-101) against Jose Berrios on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — fourth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 4-45 (.082) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Tigers are just 17-34 (.333) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Tigers are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Blue Jays are 47-2 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Blue Jays are 44-1 (.978) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .591 (2,724 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .588 (1,836 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .319 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,724 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .671 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .457 against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this month (28 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 739 of 9,679 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Alek Manoah (Blue Jays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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